August 17, 2012, Global Research http://www.globalresearch.ca (Canada)
Planetarymovement.org
by Uri Avnery
BINYAMIN NETANYAHU may be crazy, but he is not mad.
Ehud Barak may be mad, but he is not crazy.
Ergo: Israel will not attack Iran.
I HAVE said so before, and I shall say so again, even after the endless talk about it. Indeed no war has been talked about so much before it happened. To quote the classic movie line: “If you have to shoot, shoot. Don’t talk!”
In all Netanyahu’s bluster about the inevitable war, one sentence stands out: “In the Committee of Inquiry after the war, I shall take upon myself the sole responsibility, I and I alone!”
A very revealing statement.
First of all, committees of inquiry are appointed only after a military failure. There was no such committee after the 1948 War of Independence, nor after the 1956 Sinai War or the 1967 Six-day War. There were, however, committees of inquiry after the 1974 Yom Kippur war and the 1982 and 2006 Lebanon Wars. By conjuring up the specter of another such committee, Netanyahu unconsciously treats this war as an inevitable failure.
Second, under Israeli law, the entire Government of Israel is the Commander in Chief of the armed forces. Under another law, all ministers bear “collective responsibility”. TIME magazine, which is becoming more ridiculous by the week, may crown “King Bibi”, but we still have no monarchy. Netanyahu is no more than primus inter pares.
Third, in his statement Netanyahu expresses boundless contempt for his fellow ministers. They don’t count.
Netanyahu considers himself a modern day Winston Churchill. I don’t seem to remember Churchill announcing, upon assuming office, “I take responsibility for the coming defeat.” Even in the desperate situation of that moment, he trusted in victory. And the word “I” did not figure large in his speech.
IN THE daily brainwashing, the problem is presented in military terms. The debate, such as it is, concerns military capabilities and dangers.
Israelis are especially, and understandably, worried by the rain of tens of thousands of missiles expected to fall on all parts of Israel, not only from Iran, but also from Lebanon and Gaza. The minister responsible for civil defense deserted just this week, and another one, a refugee from the hapless Kadima party, has taken his place. Everybody knows that a large part of the population (including myself) is completely defenseless.
Ehud Barak has announced that no more than a measly 500 Israelis will be killed by enemy missiles. I do not aspire to the honor of being one of them, though I live quite near the Ministry of Defense..
But the military confrontation between Israel and Iran is only a part of the picture, and not the most important one.
As I have pointed out in the past, far more important is the impact on the world economy, already steeped in a profound crisis. An Israeli attack will be viewed by Iran as American-inspired, and the reaction will be accordingly, as explicitly stated by Iran this week.
The Persian Gulf is a bottle, whose neck is the narrow Strait of Hormuz, which is totally controlled by Iran. The huge American aircraft carriers now stationed in the gulf will be well advised to get out before it is too late. They resemble those antique sailing ships which enthusiasts assemble in bottles. Even the powerful weaponry of the US will not be able to keep the strait open. Simple land-to-sea missiles will be quite enough to keep it closed for months. To open it, a prolonged land operation by the US and its allies will be required. A long and bloody business with unpredictable consequences.
A major part of the world’s oil supplies has to pass through this unique waterway. Even the mere threat of its closure will cause oil prices to shoot sky-high. Actual hostilities will result in a worldwide economic collapse, with hundreds of thousands - if not millions – of new unemployed.
Each of these victims will curse Israel. Since it will be crystal clear that this is an Israeli war, the rage will be turned against us. Worse, much worse – since Israel insists that it is “the state of the Jewish people”, the rage may take the form of an unprecedented outbreak of anti-Semitism. Newfangled Islamophobes will revert to old-time Jew-haters. “The Jews are our disaster,” as the Nazis used to proclaim.
This may be worst in the US. Until now, Americans have watched with admirable tolerance as their Middle East policy is practically dictated by Israel. But even the almighty AIPAC and its allies will not be able to contain the outburst of public anger. They will give way like the levees of New Orleans.
THIS WILL have a direct impact on a central calculation of the warmongers.
In private conversations, but not only there, they assert that America will be immobilized on the eve of elections. During the last few weeks before November 6, both candidates will be mortally afraid of the Jewish lobby.
The calculation goes like this: Netanyahu and Barak will attack without giving a damn for American wishes. The Iranian counter-attack will be directed against American interests. The US will be dragged into the war against its will.
But even in the unlikely event that the Iranians act with supreme self-restraint and do not attack US targets, contrary to their declarations, President Obama will be compelled to save us, send huge quantities of arms and ammunition, bolster our anti-missile defenses, fund the war. Otherwise he will be accused of leaving Israel in the lurch and Mitt Romney will be elected as the savior of the Jewish State.
This calculation is based on historical experience. All Israeli governments in the past have exploited American election years for their purposes.
In 1948, when the US was required to recognize the new Israeli state against the express advice of both the Secretary of State and the Secretary of Defense, President Truman was fighting for his political life. His campaign was bankrupt. At the last moment Jewish millionaires leaped into the breach, Truman and Israel were saved.
In 1956, President Eisenhower was in the middle of his re-election campaign when Israel attacked Egypt in collusion with France and Britain. It was a miscalculation – Eisenhower did not need Jewish votes and money and put a stop to the adventure. In other election years the stakes were lower, but always the occasion was used to gain some concessions from the US.
Will it work this time? If Israel unleashes a war on the eve of elections, in an obvious effort to blackmail the president, will the American public mood support Israel – or could it go the other way? It will be a critical gamble of historic proportions. But like Mitt Romney, Netanyahu is a protégé of the Casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, and he may be no more averse to gambles than the poor suckers who leave their money in Adelson’s casinos.
WHERE ARE the Israelis in all this?
In spite of the constant brainwashing, polls show that the majority of Israelis are dead set against an attack. Netanyahu and Barak are seen as two addicts, many say megalomaniacs, who are beyond rational thinking.
One of the most striking aspects of the situation is that our army chief and the entire General Staff, as well as the chiefs of the Mossad and the Shin Bet, and almost all their predecessors, are totally and publicly opposed to the attack.
It is one of the rare occasions when military commanders are more moderate than their political chiefs, though it has happened in Israel before. One may well ask: how can political leaders start a fateful war when practically all their military advisors, who know our military capabilities and the chances for success, are against it?
One of the reasons for this opposition is that the army chiefs know better than anyone else how totally dependent on the US Israel really is. Our relationship with America is the very basis of our national security.
Also, it seems doubtful whether Netanyahu and Barak have a majority for the attack even in their own government and inner cabinet. The ministers know that apart from everything else, the attack would drive investors and tourists away, causing huge damage to Israel’s economy.
So why do most Israelis still believe that the attack is imminent?
Israelis, by and large, have been totally convinced by now (a) that Iran is governed by a bunch of crazy ayatollahs beyond rationality, and (b) that, once in the possession of a nuclear bomb, they will certainly drop it on us.
These convictions are based on the utterances of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, in which he declared that he will wipe Israel off the face of the earth.
But did he really say that? Sure, he has repeatedly expressed his conviction that the Zionist Entity will disappear from the face of the earth. But it seems that he never actually said that he – or Iran - would ensure that result.
That may seem only a small rhetorical difference, but in this context it is very important.
Also, Ahmadinejad may have a big mouth, but his actual power in Iran was never very great and is shrinking fast. The ayatollahs, the real rulers, are far from being irrational. Their whole behavior since the revolution shows them to be very cautious people, averse to foreign adventures, scarred by the long war with Iraq that they did not start and did not want.
A nuclear-armed Iran may be an inconvenient near-neighbor, but the threat of a “second holocaust” is a figment of the manipulated imagination. No ayatollah will drop a bomb when the certain response will be the total annihilation of all Iranian cities and the end of the glorious cultural history of Persia. Deterrence was, after all, the whole sense of producing an Israel bomb
IF NETANYAHU & Co. were really frightened by the Iranian Bomb, they would do one of two things:
Either agree to the de-nuclearization of the region, giving up our own nuclear armaments (highly unlikely);
Or make peace with the Palestinians and the entire Arab world, thereby disarming the ayatollahs’ hostility to Israel.
But Netanyahu's actions show that, for him, keeping the West Bank is vastly more important than the Iranian bomb.
What better proof do we need of the craziness of this whole scare?
*Uri Avnery is a frequent contributor to Global Research. Global Research Articles by Uri Avnery
Mostrando postagens com marcador Ayatollah. Mostrar todas as postagens
Mostrando postagens com marcador Ayatollah. Mostrar todas as postagens
domingo, 19 de agosto de 2012
terça-feira, 8 de maio de 2012
‘World should seize opportunity provided by Leader’s fatwa on nuclear weapons’
29 April 2012, Mehr News Agency http://www.mehrnews.com (Iran)
By Javad Heirannia
Tehran (MNA) -- Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has issued a fatwa (religious edict) declaring the production, stockpiling, and use of nuclear weapons are all haram (prohibited in Islam).
Sujata Ashwarya Cheema, an assistant professor of political science at the National Islamic University (Jamia Millia Islamia) in New Delhi, says the fatwa has “introduced moral and religious aspects into nuclear restraint, which should be welcome by anyone who believes in responsible use of nuclear power.”
In an interview with the Mehr News Agency, Cheema said the international community “needs to take advantage of the opportunity provided by the ayatollah’s words.”
Following is the text of the interview:
Q: What led to the success of the talks between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany (the P5+1 group) in Istanbul on April 14? What is your evaluation of the negotiations?
A: The Istanbul talks were successful in the sense that they ended on a positive note, although no agreement was reached or promises made. The fact that discussions were held in an atmosphere of cordiality was an achievement, especially in the context of the unending drumbeat of war on Iran from several quarters. The principle adopted by the P5+1 for negotiations was “step-by step approach and reciprocity,” which went down well with the Iranians. It underscored the need to address all crucial issues concerning Iran’s nuclear program through dialogue and mutuality as opposed to threat and coercion. Baroness Catherine Ashton’s assertion that Iran has the right to a peaceful nuclear program, and that the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty must be a “key basis” for future talks, was clearly a dealmaker, and went quite a distance in restoring the confidence of the Iranian side.
Q: Iran has said “the next talks should be based on confidence-building measures, which would build the confidence of Iranians.” How can this be achieved?
A: The first step should be to take the threat of war off the table. Constant talk of a military action, if talks fail, generates unnecessary pressure and hardens the position, although a time frame for reaching an agreement needs to be put in place. Both sides need to put aside their longstanding complaints against each other and focus instead on pointed issues such as enrichment, the Fordow nuclear site, and (providing) full access to IAEA inspectors. The issue of enrichment is a major sticking point that requires wise and judicious negotiations by the P5+1 rather than dictation based on preconceived notions. The catchphrase here is to go “slow and steady”, building mutual trust and respect, that are key ingredients to a successful diplomatic negotiation.
Q: Iran’s Supreme Leader has issued a fatwa declaring the production, stockpiling, and use of nuclear weapons are all haram. Can this help resolve the dispute over Iran’s nuclear issue?
A: Ayatollah Khamenei’s declaration is both topical and timely. It has introduced moral and religious aspects into nuclear restraint, which should be welcome by anyone who believes in responsible use of nuclear power. The international community, represented by the P5+1, needs to take advantage of the opportunity provided by the ayatollah’s words. In effect, it would be a good idea to hold the Iranian leaders to them. If nuclear weapons are un-Islamic, why not come clean on the issue? The Supreme Leader’s statement needs to be publicly endorsed by the international community. This would give the Iranian negotiating team the necessary political shield to accept a tough agreement.
Sujata Ashwarya Cheema is an assistant professor at the Centre for West Asian Studies of Jamia Millia Islamia. She is the author of Civil Society: Democracy and State in West Asia.
By Javad Heirannia
Tehran (MNA) -- Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has issued a fatwa (religious edict) declaring the production, stockpiling, and use of nuclear weapons are all haram (prohibited in Islam).
Sujata Ashwarya Cheema, an assistant professor of political science at the National Islamic University (Jamia Millia Islamia) in New Delhi, says the fatwa has “introduced moral and religious aspects into nuclear restraint, which should be welcome by anyone who believes in responsible use of nuclear power.”
In an interview with the Mehr News Agency, Cheema said the international community “needs to take advantage of the opportunity provided by the ayatollah’s words.”
Following is the text of the interview:
Q: What led to the success of the talks between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany (the P5+1 group) in Istanbul on April 14? What is your evaluation of the negotiations?
A: The Istanbul talks were successful in the sense that they ended on a positive note, although no agreement was reached or promises made. The fact that discussions were held in an atmosphere of cordiality was an achievement, especially in the context of the unending drumbeat of war on Iran from several quarters. The principle adopted by the P5+1 for negotiations was “step-by step approach and reciprocity,” which went down well with the Iranians. It underscored the need to address all crucial issues concerning Iran’s nuclear program through dialogue and mutuality as opposed to threat and coercion. Baroness Catherine Ashton’s assertion that Iran has the right to a peaceful nuclear program, and that the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty must be a “key basis” for future talks, was clearly a dealmaker, and went quite a distance in restoring the confidence of the Iranian side.
Q: Iran has said “the next talks should be based on confidence-building measures, which would build the confidence of Iranians.” How can this be achieved?
A: The first step should be to take the threat of war off the table. Constant talk of a military action, if talks fail, generates unnecessary pressure and hardens the position, although a time frame for reaching an agreement needs to be put in place. Both sides need to put aside their longstanding complaints against each other and focus instead on pointed issues such as enrichment, the Fordow nuclear site, and (providing) full access to IAEA inspectors. The issue of enrichment is a major sticking point that requires wise and judicious negotiations by the P5+1 rather than dictation based on preconceived notions. The catchphrase here is to go “slow and steady”, building mutual trust and respect, that are key ingredients to a successful diplomatic negotiation.
Q: Iran’s Supreme Leader has issued a fatwa declaring the production, stockpiling, and use of nuclear weapons are all haram. Can this help resolve the dispute over Iran’s nuclear issue?
A: Ayatollah Khamenei’s declaration is both topical and timely. It has introduced moral and religious aspects into nuclear restraint, which should be welcome by anyone who believes in responsible use of nuclear power. The international community, represented by the P5+1, needs to take advantage of the opportunity provided by the ayatollah’s words. In effect, it would be a good idea to hold the Iranian leaders to them. If nuclear weapons are un-Islamic, why not come clean on the issue? The Supreme Leader’s statement needs to be publicly endorsed by the international community. This would give the Iranian negotiating team the necessary political shield to accept a tough agreement.
Sujata Ashwarya Cheema is an assistant professor at the Centre for West Asian Studies of Jamia Millia Islamia. She is the author of Civil Society: Democracy and State in West Asia.
domingo, 15 de abril de 2012
Western Media Places Burden on Iran to Prove Seriousness in Nuclear Negotiations
April 15th, 2012 Tikun Olam-תיקון עולם http://www.richardsilverstein.com (USA)
To enter into the world of the Iran-P5+1 nuclear negotiation is like scurrying down a rabbit hole and finding that words mean precisely what Iran’s enemies wish them to mean–nothing more or less. In other words, before the talks began the NYT’s Steven Erlanger could write that western intelligence was attempting to parse the “dense fog” of Ayatollah Khamenei’s utterances on the nuclear question. Meaning, of course that Barack Obama and Bibi Netanyahu have consistently been crystal clear in their every statement on the subject.
The fact that a subsequent second meeting has been scheduled for May means, again according to Erlanger’s anti-Iran perspective, that Iran passed a test that it engaged “seriously” in the first meeting: A senior American official at the talks emphasized that this meeting was about testing Iran’s seriousness.
Not a hint of the possibility that it is Israel and the U.S. whose sincerity may be doubted or that they too have something to prove. It is objectionable to paint Iran as the sole bad guy. There is more than enough blame to go around.
I have written here for months, if not years, that as long as the onus is put solely on the Iranians, they are always the ones whose seriousness is doubted, or who have something to prove–talks will fail. Such notions are racist at their heart. For every claim of perfidy or backtracking we can blame Iran, we can find two such examples from Israel and the U.S. The notion that non-western wannabe nuclear states are always the ones who engage in fraud or deceit is offensive and false.
Erlanger even raises a claim offered by that most notorious of references, “some analysts,” who raise the offensive religious claim that Iran would use deliberate lies as an approved part of its Shiite theological tradition during negotiations. Such claims are worthy of Daniel Pipes but not of a serious newspaper. Especially since Erlanger doesn’t even bother to offer a source for this claim.
Israeli leaders and war hawk analysts repetitively warn of Iran’s lying and reneging on such commitments. To hear them tell it, Iran never met a negotiation it didn’t sabotage, and it is the most untrustworthy interlocutor known to the world today. While the motives and actions of the west, of course, are pure as the driven snow.
On a related matter, yesterday the Times reported that Iranian Nobel laureate Shirin Ebadi, who lives in exile and is no friend of the regime, attacked the notion that economic sanctions were either an effective or moral tool in their use to bring Iran to its knees and its senses regarding its nuclear program. She said the only people harmed by this would be the vulnerable common folk, certainly not the leadership.
To enter into the world of the Iran-P5+1 nuclear negotiation is like scurrying down a rabbit hole and finding that words mean precisely what Iran’s enemies wish them to mean–nothing more or less. In other words, before the talks began the NYT’s Steven Erlanger could write that western intelligence was attempting to parse the “dense fog” of Ayatollah Khamenei’s utterances on the nuclear question. Meaning, of course that Barack Obama and Bibi Netanyahu have consistently been crystal clear in their every statement on the subject.
The fact that a subsequent second meeting has been scheduled for May means, again according to Erlanger’s anti-Iran perspective, that Iran passed a test that it engaged “seriously” in the first meeting: A senior American official at the talks emphasized that this meeting was about testing Iran’s seriousness.
Not a hint of the possibility that it is Israel and the U.S. whose sincerity may be doubted or that they too have something to prove. It is objectionable to paint Iran as the sole bad guy. There is more than enough blame to go around.
I have written here for months, if not years, that as long as the onus is put solely on the Iranians, they are always the ones whose seriousness is doubted, or who have something to prove–talks will fail. Such notions are racist at their heart. For every claim of perfidy or backtracking we can blame Iran, we can find two such examples from Israel and the U.S. The notion that non-western wannabe nuclear states are always the ones who engage in fraud or deceit is offensive and false.
Erlanger even raises a claim offered by that most notorious of references, “some analysts,” who raise the offensive religious claim that Iran would use deliberate lies as an approved part of its Shiite theological tradition during negotiations. Such claims are worthy of Daniel Pipes but not of a serious newspaper. Especially since Erlanger doesn’t even bother to offer a source for this claim.
Israeli leaders and war hawk analysts repetitively warn of Iran’s lying and reneging on such commitments. To hear them tell it, Iran never met a negotiation it didn’t sabotage, and it is the most untrustworthy interlocutor known to the world today. While the motives and actions of the west, of course, are pure as the driven snow.
On a related matter, yesterday the Times reported that Iranian Nobel laureate Shirin Ebadi, who lives in exile and is no friend of the regime, attacked the notion that economic sanctions were either an effective or moral tool in their use to bring Iran to its knees and its senses regarding its nuclear program. She said the only people harmed by this would be the vulnerable common folk, certainly not the leadership.
Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei: POINTS DE VUE SUR L’ENERGIE NUCLEAIRE
11 Mars 2012, Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei http://www.khamenei.ir (Iran)
L'énergie nucléaire dans l'optique du Guide suprême de la Révolution islamique
La bonne et la mauvaise utilisation du savoir
La science sans morale
Le sens véritable du progrès
La technologie nucléaire
Une technologie autochtone
Une compétition inéquitable pour l'acquisition de l'énergie nucléaire
Les raisons du vacarme médiatique sur le nucléaire iranien
La puissance matérielle et spirituelle
La nécessité de détruire les armes à destruction massive
La menace pour la paix mondiale
La logique de l'Iran contre les pressions des puissances arrogantes
Les revendications des nations
La violation des droits légitimes
L'Iran n'a pas besoin d'armes nucléaires
L’énergie nucléaire dans l’optique du Guide suprême de la Révolution islamique
La bonne et la mauvaise utilisation du savoir
Les technologies de pointe à la disposition d'une nation parfaite et éthiquement saine, seront une source de bénédictions. Les armes modernes à la disposition d'une nation sage et parfaite, ne poseront pas de dangers. La situation sera toujours la même.
Pourquoi cette énergie est-elle devenue une menace pour les nations ?
Ils produisent des bombes atomiques comme les Américains l'ont fait à la fin de la seconde guerre mondiale qui ont été à l'origine d'un désastre pour les Japonais ou comme la catastrophe dans une usine nucléaire de l’ex-Union soviétique qui a provoqué la mort d'un grand nombre de personnes. Les problèmes de la technologie nucléaire viennent du pouvoir effréné des grandes puissances. Si le pouvoir du gouvernement arrogant des Etats-Unis est limité dans le monde, la menace nucléaire diminuera automatiquement.
Autant que les progrès de la connaissance humaine, le mot « atome » rappelle aussi malheureusement la plus grande catastrophe historique et le plus grand génocide causés par la mauvaise utilisation de ces acquis scientifiques. Même si de nombreux pays ont entrepris la production et le stockage d'armes nucléaires, ce qui en soi peut être considéré comme une forme de préméditation et une menace pour la paix mondiale, un seul gouvernement s'est rendu coupable d'un crime atomique jusqu'à présent, c'est-à-dire le gouvernement des États-Unis qui a effectué la première attaque nucléaire contre la population innocente d'Hiroshima et de Nagasaki au Japon, dans une guerre inégale et inhumaine
La science sans morale
Aujourd'hui, les sciences avancées et modernes de la civilisation et du monde occidental ne sont pas capables de sauver l'humanité parce que cette civilisation n'est pas attentive aux valeurs humaines.
Partout où la science existe sans la conscience, la spiritualité, la morale et les sentiments humains, l'humanité n'est pas en mesure de bénéficier de ce savoir. La science sans spiritualité et morale, se transforme en bombe atomique et est un danger pour les innocents. Cette science a été utilisée pour fabriquer des armes et tuer des civils au Liban, dans les territoires palestiniens occupés et dans d'autres parties du monde. Cette science a produit des armes chimiques mortelles qui ont été utilisés dans la région d'Halabcheh (en Iran) et d'autres régions du monde pour tuer les femmes et les enfants, les êtres humains et les troupeaux.
D’où viennent ces produits chimiques ?
Ces produits chimiques mortels ont été produits par les centres scientifiques européens. Ce sont eux qui ont produit ces armes chimiques et les ont offertes à un régime sans scrupule ni conscience. Ces armes et ces productions scientifiques ne sont pas en mesure d'apporter le bonheur aux êtres humains ni le salut aux familles ni la joie de vivre aux hommes, aux femmes et aux enfants parce qu'elles ne sont pas accompagnées de la morale et de la spiritualité.
Le sens véritable du progrès
L'amour pour la spiritualité et une relation étroite avec Dieu sont les facteurs les plus importants qui garantissent de véritables progrès aux nations. Sans cela, tous les résultats appelés communément "progrès du monde moderne" peuvent être utilisés dans une mauvaise direction. Est-ce qu'un pays moral et discipliné en termes de comportements sociaux, peut acquérir le savoir et la richesse et les utiliser pour anéantir une autre nation ? Ceci est inacceptable.
Selon notre logique, il n'est pas juste pour un pays d'utiliser son savoir pour produire des armes comme les armes nucléaires qui anéantissent aussi bien les soldats armés que les civils, les enfants, les bébés et les peuples opprimés une fois qu’elles sont larguées quelque part. Nous n'apprécions pas du tout et n’estimons pas comme un progrès, une science qui donnerait lieu à ces évènements et un pays qui se comporterait de cette manière. L'amour pour la spiritualité, le respect des sentiments humains et de l'amour entre les humains, doivent être intensifiés et il faut que nous nous agissions dans ce sens.
La technologie nucléaire
La technologie nucléaire est une des plus grandes réalisations de l'Humanité et peut et doit être mise au service du bien-être, du progrès et du développement de toutes les nations du monde et de toutes les sociétés humaines. Les domaines d'application des sciences nucléaires sont très larges et couvrent les besoins médicaux, énergétiques et industriels, qui ont tous une importance essentielle. C'est pour cette raison que la technologie nucléaire occupe une position éminente dans notre vie économique et qu'avec le temps et en fonction de l'augmentation de nos besoins médicaux, énergétiques et industriels, son importance s'accroîtra de jour en jour, et nos efforts s'intensifieront pour la production et l'exploitation de cette énergie. Les nations du Moyen-Orient comme les autres nations dans le monde, cherchent la paix, la sécurité et le progrès, et ont le droit d'utiliser cette technologie pour assurer leur statut économique et la prospérité des générations à venir. Un des objectifs de la propagande contre le programme nucléaire civil de la République islamique d'Iran est d'empêcher les nations de la région d'accorder une attention sérieuse à ce droit, naturel et précieux.
Une technologie autochtone
À la grande déception de l'ennemi, la République islamique d'Iran a acquis elle-même cette technologie nucléaire. L'Iran est membre de l'Agence internationale d'énergie atomique et a signé le Traité de non-prolifération nucléaire. Selon les règlements, l’Agence est censée fournir certaines aides à l'Iran. Les sionistes et les Etats-Unis ont annoncé au monde entier qu'ils voulaient priver l’Iran de ces aides. Les jeunes scientifiques talentueux et brillants iraniens ont réussi à acquérir progressivement cette technologie sans l'aide d’autrui. La technologie nucléaire est différente de la construction de bombes atomiques. La technologie nucléaire est une croissance scientifique dans un domaine qui offre de nombreux avantages. Ceux qui sont à la recherche de la construction de bombes atomiques doivent s'engager dans une certaine branche de la technologie nucléaire. L'Iran n'est pas à la recherche de la bombe atomique et est même opposé aux armes chimiques. Même quand l'Irak utilisait les armes chimiques contre l'Iran, nous n'avons jamais essayé d'en fabriquer. De telles entreprises ne sont pas en conformité avec les principes de la République islamique d'Iran.
Une compétition inéquitable pour l’acquisition de l’énergie nucléaire
Le peuple chinois a fait de grands progrès scientifiques mais il faut tenir compte du fait qu'en 1948 quand la Chine communiste s'est constituée, ce pays n'avait rien et s'est relevé grâce à l'aide technologique de l'U.R.S.S qui avait un gouvernement plus expérimenté en termes d'idéologie et de progrès scientifiques et technologiques, et a fourni à la Chine tout ce qui était nécessaire. C'était à l'époque de Staline. L'existence d'un grand pays comme la Chine qui bien entendu, n'avait pas à l'époque une si grande population mais était un pays vaste et très peuplé, à côté de l'Union soviétique et au cœur de l'Asie, était très importante pour l'Union soviétique. Par conséquent, les Russes ont fourni à la Chine tout ce dont elle avait besoin et même l'énergie nucléaire.
Mais nos jeunes eux, ont acquis cette énergie par leurs propres efforts alors que les Chinois l'ont reçue de l'Union soviétique. La Chine et la Russie l'ont aussi offerte à la Corée du Nord. Si vous étudiez ce qui s'est passé, vous verrez que les résultats obtenus par des pays comme la Chine, sont tous dus à l'appui exceptionnel qu'ils ont reçu d'autres pays. C’est aussi le cas de l’Inde et cela pour d’autres raisons. Le différend entre la Chine et la Russie plusieurs années après Staline, considéré comme un différend entre l'Orient et l'Occident et peut-être un peu plus sérieux que cela, a poussé les Russes à aider l'Inde qui est un pays voisin de la Chine. Les Chinois eux, ont commencé à aider le Pakistan qui était un rival de l'Inde. Ceci montre bien que les facteurs politiques ont joué un rôle dans le choix des alliés. D'une part, la Chine a fourni la technologie nucléaire au Pakistan et d'autre part, la Russie a fourni l'énergie nucléaire et d'autres technologies à l'Inde. L'Inde et le Pakistan ont donc reçu cette technologie d'autres pays.
Les raisons du vacarme médiatique sur le nucléaire iranien
Ils font tout un brouhaha aujourd'hui dans le monde, sur l'affaire de l'énergie nucléaire.
Quelle est la position du monde vis-à-vis de l'Iran en particulier les pays d'Asie, du Moyen-Orient et les pays islamiques ?
Les Etats-Unis prétendent, les yeux fermés, que "le monde est contre l'enrichissement de l'uranium en Iran".
Non ! Vous ne connaissez pas le monde, vous ne le voyez même pas. Les nations du monde et les gouvernements de plus de cent pays non alignés, une cinquantaine de pays islamiques réunis dans l'Organisation de la Conférence Islamique (OCI), le mouvement des non-alignés et de nombreuses autres nations dans le monde sont contre le monopole de l'énergie nucléaire par certaines puissances arrogantes et admirent le peuple iranien pour son courage et sa persévérance dans ce domaine.
La nation iranienne poursuit son chemin avec détermination et force, et dans la joie, grâce à cette jeune génération, sage et intelligente, qui aujourd'hui se développe de jour en jour et approfondit une pensée qui remet en question les fondements idéologiques du monde occidental, et est un cadeau spirituel au monde de l'islam et aux nations musulmanes qui obligera le front de l'arrogance à reculer.
Les sionistes qui ont occupé les territoires palestiniens et le gouvernement américain qui fait preuve d’une grande hostilité et d'une profonde rancune contre la République islamique, sont prêts à utiliser tous les moyens possibles pour atteindre leurs objectifs malveillants. Ils répandent de fausses idées dans le monde, sur l'Iran qu'ils accusent d’être à la recherche de l'arme nucléaire. Pour atteindre leur objectif, ils ont sensibilisé l'opinion publique et de nombreux gouvernements sur cette question. Après cette propagande mensongère, ils ont essayé de convaincre le monde que les efforts scientifiques et les activités nucléaires de l'Iran représentaient une menace.
La République islamique leur a permis d'inspecter ses centres d'enrichissement. Ils sont venus dans notre pays pour surveiller nos activités d'enrichissement et ont été autorisés à inspecter partout où ils soupçonnaient un dérapage dans les activités d'enrichissement, afin qu'ils comprennent que la propagande des sionistes était un mensonge. Cela a été une attitude pacifique de notre part pour défendre notre technologie nucléaire.
La puissance matérielle et spirituelle
Pour défendre ses idéaux, toute nation a besoin de se renforcer et d'accroître sa puissance.
Bien sûr, la puissance définie par la religion est différente de celle qui existe dans la perspective matérialiste. Du point de vue matérialiste, le pouvoir réside dans la force militaire, les équipements avancés et perfectionnés, et les armes à destruction massive comme les armes nucléaires, chimiques et biologiques. Mais pour nous, le vrai pouvoir réside dans la nature des actes de ceux qui s'efforcent de défendre leurs droits et de réaliser leurs nobles idéaux, et qui sont prêts à faire toutes sortes de sacrifices pour atteindre leurs objectifs, ceux qui essaient de promouvoir la justice et les justes valeurs, et n’utilisent jamais leur puissance de manière brutale et injuste. Ils n'humilient et n’oppriment jamais les autres et n’agissent jamais de façon arrogante. Ils ne s'attaquent jamais aux territoires des autres nations pour piller leurs richesses nationales et leurs ressources naturelles.
Par contre, ceux qui comptent sur la puissance matérielle n'ont aucun respect pour les droits des autres ni pour les valeurs morales et spirituelles, car ils suivent la loi de la jungle. Ils pensent que puisqu'ils sont puissants, ce sont eux qui détiennent la vérité. C’est une grande erreur et une conclusion erronée.
La nécessité de détruire les armes à destruction massive
Depuis l'explosion des premières armes nucléaires utilisées par les États-Unis à Hiroshima et Nagasaki, et cette catastrophe humaine sans précédent dans l'Histoire, qui a mis en danger la sécurité du monde, la communauté internationale s'est montrée unanime sur la nécessité d'éliminer totalement ces armements. Non seulement l'utilisation des armes nucléaires a contribué à de vastes massacres et destructions, sans aucune distinction entre les militaires et les civil, les adultes et les enfants, les hommes et les femmes, les vieux et les jeunes, mais a eu aussi de graves conséquences qui ont dépassé les frontières politiques et géographiques, et ont porté préjudice aux générations suivantes.
Il est clair que toute utilisation et même toute menace d'utilisation de ces armes, sont une transgression évidente des droits humains et des cas évidents de crime de guerre.
La menace pour la paix mondiale
Du point de vue militaire et sécuritaire, après l'accès de quelques puissances à cette arme inhumaine, il est devenu évident qu'une victoire dans une guerre nucléaire était impossible et que son utilisation était irraisonnable et inhumaine. Pourtant, malgré ces évidences morales, logiques, humaines et même militaires, les demandes successives de la communauté internationale pour l'anéantissement de ces armes que possède un groupe limité de gouvernements qui bâtissent leur sécurité imaginaire sur l'insécurité internationale, ont été passées sous silence.
L'insistance de ces gouvernements pour maintenir, augmenter et renforcer le pouvoir de destruction de ces armes qui n'avaient et n'ont aucune fonction à part l'intimidation, la terreur collective et la création d'un faux sentiment de sécurité basé sur une force dissuasive assurée par la grande puissance de destruction de ces armes, a contribué à la poursuite de ce cauchemar nucléaire. De colossales ressources économiques et humaines sont consacrées à cette compétition démentielle pour que chacune des superpuissances ait l'illusion de jouir d'un pouvoir dix-mille fois plus fort que celui de ses rivaux, et de pouvoir détruire tous les habitants du globe, y compris eux-mêmes. Ce n'est pas pour rien que cette stratégie a été nommée force de dissuasion fondée sur une "destruction mutuelle assurée", une vraie folie en quelque sorte.
Ces dernières années, certains gouvernements ont dépassé la «doctrine de dissuasion et de destruction mutuelle", et ont mis l'accent sur le maintien du choix nucléaire dans la lutte contre les contrevenants au TNP, alors que les plus grands responsables de violations du Traité de non-prolifération sont les pouvoirs qui, en plus du mépris de leurs engagements à l'article 6 du TNP sur le désarmement nucléaire, ont dépassé les autres pays dans la prolifération verticale et horizontale de ces armements. Ils ont joué un rôle direct dans la prolifération de ces armes en équipant le régime sioniste au niveau nucléaire et en soutenant les politiques de ce régime. Ceci est contraire à l'article 1 du TNP et constitue une grave menace pour le Moyen-Orient et le monde. A la tête de ces gouvernements se trouve le régime arrogant et oppresseur des États-Unis.
La logique de l'Iran contre les pressions des puissances arrogantes
Les Etats-Unis doivent savoir que la République islamique d'Iran n'est pas un pays belliciste. La République islamique dans le cadre de ses principes, est opposée au bellicisme. L'Iran n'est pour aucune guerre. Tout le monde doit le savoir. C'est une position que tous les responsables de la République islamique partagent unanimement. Tous les responsables du gouvernement de la République islamique considèrent comme leur devoir d'éviter la guerre. Les principes islamiques exigent que l'Iran envoie un message d'amitié, de paix, d'amour, de sécurité et de tranquillité.
La nation iranienne est porteuse d'un message. Ceux qui n'ont rien à dire essaient naturellement de faire du bruit afin que personne ne puisse l'entendre. Ceux qui cherchent à imposer leur volonté préfèrent le tumulte alors que ceux qui ont des raisons logiques préfèrent une ambiance paisible dans laquelle ils puissent les présenter.
Le front capitaliste et colonialiste, à l'aide de ses réseaux médiatiques, politiques et économiques, exerce des pressions sur la nation iranienne pour l'obliger à renoncer non seulement à ses droits dans le domaine nucléaire qui sont légitimes, mais aussi à son droit à l'indépendance, au progrès scientifique et à sa liberté de décision. La nation iranienne avance aujourd'hui dans la voie du progrès scientifique et technologique, pour rattraper deux siècles de retard hérités des monarchies. Nos ennemis sont alarmés et ne veulent pas laisser notre nation qui se situe dans une partie stratégique du monde, atteindre ces objectifs. Ils ne veulent pas que la nation iranienne soit considérée comme le porte-étendard de l'Islam. C'est la raison pour laquelle ils exercent ces pressions mais la nation iranienne reste ferme. Les Etats-Unis ont appris par expérience, que les armes nucléaires sont inefficaces dans une confrontation avec les peuples et leur volonté. Ces armes peuvent intimider les gouvernements et les armées, mais ne peuvent jamais intimider les peuples.
Les revendications des nations
La nation iranienne a des objectifs élevés. Le slogan nucléaire crié dans diverses parties du pays "L'énergie nucléaire est notre droit incontestable" n'est pas une déclaration simple et ordinaire. Beaucoup de pays ne connaissent pas l'énergie nucléaire et ne savent pas qu'elle est un de leurs droits. Même s'ils le savaient, ils ne pourraient pas avancer dans ce domaine. Mais notre nation sait qu'il s'agit d'un critère de progrès actuellement, et qu'une nation perdrait beaucoup à ne pas en disposer. Notre nation qui sait aussi qu'il s'agit d'un droit indéniable, en a fait son slogan et le réclame à ses responsables. Elle sait aussi que son pays a le droit de jouir de ce droit légitime sans tenir compte de personne et sans l'aide d'autres pays. Cela est très important. C'est le vœu de notre nation et l'espoir de notre pays.
Aujourd'hui, le monde a les yeux fixés sur la nation iranienne et est encouragé par notre nation. Aujourd'hui, les slogans anti-impérialistes de la nation iranienne se répandent dans le monde de l'islam. Si vous vous rendez dans les pays islamiques, quel que soit leur système politique, vous remarquerez que les peuples estiment et admirent vos idéaux et vos slogans anti-impérialistes, de défense des opprimés, de soutien à la nation palestinienne et d'opposition au réseau sioniste. C'est la meilleure façon d'exporter la Révolution islamique. Aujourd'hui vous constatez que le slogan de l'énergie nucléaire, la résistance de la nation iranienne et la défense de ses droits, ont pris une telle envergure dans le monde de l'islam que les responsables des pays islamiques et arabes déclarent que l'énergie nucléaire est aussi une revendication de leur nation.
La violation des droits légitimes
La violation des droits de cette région par les Etats-Unis n'est pas limitée à quelques cas isolés. Depuis des années, ils nient le caractère civil de notre programme nucléaire. Voyez comment ils déforment les réalités et les mensonges qu'ils répandent, voyez les efforts qu'ils font pour s'opposer à la volonté d'une nation qui cherche à défendre ses droits légitimes et une réussite qu'elle a acquise par ses propres efforts. Notre nation affirme qu'elle ne cherche que l'énergie nucléaire civile, eux prétendent que la nation iranienne cherche à produire des armes nucléaires.
Pourquoi profèrent-ils de tels mensonges ? Pourquoi disent-ils de telles choses et poussent-ils la nation iranienne à les haïr ? C'est ce qu'ils font depuis des années. A plusieurs reprises, le peuple et les représentants du gouvernement ont annoncé officiellement qu'ils n'étaient absolument pas à la recherche de l'arme nucléaire qui n'a aucune place dans les besoins de la nation et le système militaire du pays. Nous croyons que l'utilisation d'armes nucléaires est religieusement illicite et interdite, et qu'il est du devoir de tous de faire des efforts pour protéger l'humanité contre ce grand danger. Nous croyons qu'en plus des armes nucléaires, les autres armes de destruction massive comme les armes chimiques et biologiques, constituent également une grave menace pour l'Humanité. Le peuple d'Iran qui a été lui-même victime de ces armes chimiques, est plus conscient des dangers de leur production et de leur stockage, et est prêt à mettre toutes ses ressources au service de la lutte contre ces armements.
Le plus étonnant est que le seul et unique responsable de crime nucléaire dans le monde prétend lutter contre la prolifération des armes nucléaires, alors qu'il n'a pris jusqu'ici et ne prendra pas dans l'avenir, aucune mesure sérieuse pour l'application de ses slogans. Si les slogans des États-Unis sur leur lutte contre la prolifération des armes nucléaires n'étaient pas un mensonge, comment le régime sioniste réussirait-il à contourner les règlements internationaux en particulier le Traité de non-prolifération (TNP) et à transformer les territoires occupés de Palestine en un centre de stockage d'armements nucléaires ?
L’Iran n’a pas besoin d’armes nucléaires
Ils confondent la technologie nucléaire et le développement des armes nucléaires. La vérité est différente. La technologie nucléaire et les armes nucléaires sont deux choses différentes et n’ont aucun lien entre elles. Les armes nucléaires sont à base d'uranium enrichi à plus de 90% grâce à l'utilisation de technologies complexes. Seuls ceux qui veulent produire des armes nucléaires s'engagent dans cette voie. La République islamique d'Iran n'a pas cette motivation et ne s'est jamais engagée dans cette voie. L'Iran n'a pas besoin de bombe atomique. L'Iran a vaincu ses ennemis sans recourir à l'arme nucléaire. La nation iranienne a réussi à vaincre les Usa pendant toutes ces années. N'est-ce pas une réalité ? Les Iraniens ont-ils vaincu les Etats-Unis grâce à leurs armes nucléaires ou en s'appuyant sur leur détermination, leur volonté, leur foi, leur vigilance et leur unité ?
L'Iran sait ce qu'il veut et sait comment l'obtenir. L'Iran avance dans ce sens et ne se laissera pas intimider par les menaces de telle ou telle puissance. C'est ainsi que l'Iran a surmonté ses ennemis. Il n'a pas utilisé d'armes nucléaires pour le faire. L’ex-Union soviétique ne disposait-elle pas de bombes atomiques ? Ses bombes atomiques étaient probablement plus nombreuses que celles des Etats-Unis et pourtant l'Union soviétique a disparu. La défaite et la victoire dans les domaines importants, ne sont pas déterminées par de telles choses.
La République islamique d'Iran a présenté un modèle au monde de l'Islam, un modèle de démocratie religieuse qui est un modèle d'indépendance et de gloire nationale. Aujourd'hui, le monde de l'Islam s'est retourné contre les Etats-Unis, et les nations du monde crient "Mort à l'Amérique". Quelle nation a la première, criée ce slogan ? En dehors de la République islamique et de la nation iranienne, qui a lancé ce slogan ?
Aujourd'hui tout le monde crie ce slogan. L’Iran islamique n'a pas fait de progrès en s'appuyant sur la bombe atomique. Il n'est pas possible de remporter des victoires mémorables et historiques, en s'appuyant sur de telles armes. Le régime sioniste ne dispose-t-il pas de bombes atomiques ? On estime que le régime sioniste a stocké 200 à 300 ogives nucléaires. Mais ces dernières années, le régime sioniste a été impuissant contre des gens qui n'avaient même pas d’armes et dont la seule arme était quelques pierres. Bien sûr, les pierres qu'ils jettent sont accompagnées de la volonté et de la foi.
L'Iran n'est pas à la recherche de la bombe nucléaire. Pourquoi l'Iran chercherait-il à fabriquer l'arme nucléaire ? Quand une bombe atomique explose elle ne touche pas que les ennemis. Au contraire, elle tue aussi des innocents et cela est contraire aux principes islamiques et aux principes de la République islamique d'Iran. Une bombe atomique ne fait aucune distinction entre les bons et les mauvais et ce n'est pas ce que la République islamique recherche. La République islamique s'appuie sur quelque chose qui ne peut pas être touchée par les bombes, les invasions étrangères et d'autres choses semblables qui ne font que renforcer la détermination du peuple.
L'énergie nucléaire dans l'optique du Guide suprême de la Révolution islamique
La bonne et la mauvaise utilisation du savoir
La science sans morale
Le sens véritable du progrès
La technologie nucléaire
Une technologie autochtone
Une compétition inéquitable pour l'acquisition de l'énergie nucléaire
Les raisons du vacarme médiatique sur le nucléaire iranien
La puissance matérielle et spirituelle
La nécessité de détruire les armes à destruction massive
La menace pour la paix mondiale
La logique de l'Iran contre les pressions des puissances arrogantes
Les revendications des nations
La violation des droits légitimes
L'Iran n'a pas besoin d'armes nucléaires
L’énergie nucléaire dans l’optique du Guide suprême de la Révolution islamique
La bonne et la mauvaise utilisation du savoir
Les technologies de pointe à la disposition d'une nation parfaite et éthiquement saine, seront une source de bénédictions. Les armes modernes à la disposition d'une nation sage et parfaite, ne poseront pas de dangers. La situation sera toujours la même.
Pourquoi cette énergie est-elle devenue une menace pour les nations ?
Ils produisent des bombes atomiques comme les Américains l'ont fait à la fin de la seconde guerre mondiale qui ont été à l'origine d'un désastre pour les Japonais ou comme la catastrophe dans une usine nucléaire de l’ex-Union soviétique qui a provoqué la mort d'un grand nombre de personnes. Les problèmes de la technologie nucléaire viennent du pouvoir effréné des grandes puissances. Si le pouvoir du gouvernement arrogant des Etats-Unis est limité dans le monde, la menace nucléaire diminuera automatiquement.
Autant que les progrès de la connaissance humaine, le mot « atome » rappelle aussi malheureusement la plus grande catastrophe historique et le plus grand génocide causés par la mauvaise utilisation de ces acquis scientifiques. Même si de nombreux pays ont entrepris la production et le stockage d'armes nucléaires, ce qui en soi peut être considéré comme une forme de préméditation et une menace pour la paix mondiale, un seul gouvernement s'est rendu coupable d'un crime atomique jusqu'à présent, c'est-à-dire le gouvernement des États-Unis qui a effectué la première attaque nucléaire contre la population innocente d'Hiroshima et de Nagasaki au Japon, dans une guerre inégale et inhumaine
La science sans morale
Aujourd'hui, les sciences avancées et modernes de la civilisation et du monde occidental ne sont pas capables de sauver l'humanité parce que cette civilisation n'est pas attentive aux valeurs humaines.
Partout où la science existe sans la conscience, la spiritualité, la morale et les sentiments humains, l'humanité n'est pas en mesure de bénéficier de ce savoir. La science sans spiritualité et morale, se transforme en bombe atomique et est un danger pour les innocents. Cette science a été utilisée pour fabriquer des armes et tuer des civils au Liban, dans les territoires palestiniens occupés et dans d'autres parties du monde. Cette science a produit des armes chimiques mortelles qui ont été utilisés dans la région d'Halabcheh (en Iran) et d'autres régions du monde pour tuer les femmes et les enfants, les êtres humains et les troupeaux.
D’où viennent ces produits chimiques ?
Ces produits chimiques mortels ont été produits par les centres scientifiques européens. Ce sont eux qui ont produit ces armes chimiques et les ont offertes à un régime sans scrupule ni conscience. Ces armes et ces productions scientifiques ne sont pas en mesure d'apporter le bonheur aux êtres humains ni le salut aux familles ni la joie de vivre aux hommes, aux femmes et aux enfants parce qu'elles ne sont pas accompagnées de la morale et de la spiritualité.
Le sens véritable du progrès
L'amour pour la spiritualité et une relation étroite avec Dieu sont les facteurs les plus importants qui garantissent de véritables progrès aux nations. Sans cela, tous les résultats appelés communément "progrès du monde moderne" peuvent être utilisés dans une mauvaise direction. Est-ce qu'un pays moral et discipliné en termes de comportements sociaux, peut acquérir le savoir et la richesse et les utiliser pour anéantir une autre nation ? Ceci est inacceptable.
Selon notre logique, il n'est pas juste pour un pays d'utiliser son savoir pour produire des armes comme les armes nucléaires qui anéantissent aussi bien les soldats armés que les civils, les enfants, les bébés et les peuples opprimés une fois qu’elles sont larguées quelque part. Nous n'apprécions pas du tout et n’estimons pas comme un progrès, une science qui donnerait lieu à ces évènements et un pays qui se comporterait de cette manière. L'amour pour la spiritualité, le respect des sentiments humains et de l'amour entre les humains, doivent être intensifiés et il faut que nous nous agissions dans ce sens.
La technologie nucléaire
La technologie nucléaire est une des plus grandes réalisations de l'Humanité et peut et doit être mise au service du bien-être, du progrès et du développement de toutes les nations du monde et de toutes les sociétés humaines. Les domaines d'application des sciences nucléaires sont très larges et couvrent les besoins médicaux, énergétiques et industriels, qui ont tous une importance essentielle. C'est pour cette raison que la technologie nucléaire occupe une position éminente dans notre vie économique et qu'avec le temps et en fonction de l'augmentation de nos besoins médicaux, énergétiques et industriels, son importance s'accroîtra de jour en jour, et nos efforts s'intensifieront pour la production et l'exploitation de cette énergie. Les nations du Moyen-Orient comme les autres nations dans le monde, cherchent la paix, la sécurité et le progrès, et ont le droit d'utiliser cette technologie pour assurer leur statut économique et la prospérité des générations à venir. Un des objectifs de la propagande contre le programme nucléaire civil de la République islamique d'Iran est d'empêcher les nations de la région d'accorder une attention sérieuse à ce droit, naturel et précieux.
Une technologie autochtone
À la grande déception de l'ennemi, la République islamique d'Iran a acquis elle-même cette technologie nucléaire. L'Iran est membre de l'Agence internationale d'énergie atomique et a signé le Traité de non-prolifération nucléaire. Selon les règlements, l’Agence est censée fournir certaines aides à l'Iran. Les sionistes et les Etats-Unis ont annoncé au monde entier qu'ils voulaient priver l’Iran de ces aides. Les jeunes scientifiques talentueux et brillants iraniens ont réussi à acquérir progressivement cette technologie sans l'aide d’autrui. La technologie nucléaire est différente de la construction de bombes atomiques. La technologie nucléaire est une croissance scientifique dans un domaine qui offre de nombreux avantages. Ceux qui sont à la recherche de la construction de bombes atomiques doivent s'engager dans une certaine branche de la technologie nucléaire. L'Iran n'est pas à la recherche de la bombe atomique et est même opposé aux armes chimiques. Même quand l'Irak utilisait les armes chimiques contre l'Iran, nous n'avons jamais essayé d'en fabriquer. De telles entreprises ne sont pas en conformité avec les principes de la République islamique d'Iran.
Une compétition inéquitable pour l’acquisition de l’énergie nucléaire
Le peuple chinois a fait de grands progrès scientifiques mais il faut tenir compte du fait qu'en 1948 quand la Chine communiste s'est constituée, ce pays n'avait rien et s'est relevé grâce à l'aide technologique de l'U.R.S.S qui avait un gouvernement plus expérimenté en termes d'idéologie et de progrès scientifiques et technologiques, et a fourni à la Chine tout ce qui était nécessaire. C'était à l'époque de Staline. L'existence d'un grand pays comme la Chine qui bien entendu, n'avait pas à l'époque une si grande population mais était un pays vaste et très peuplé, à côté de l'Union soviétique et au cœur de l'Asie, était très importante pour l'Union soviétique. Par conséquent, les Russes ont fourni à la Chine tout ce dont elle avait besoin et même l'énergie nucléaire.
Mais nos jeunes eux, ont acquis cette énergie par leurs propres efforts alors que les Chinois l'ont reçue de l'Union soviétique. La Chine et la Russie l'ont aussi offerte à la Corée du Nord. Si vous étudiez ce qui s'est passé, vous verrez que les résultats obtenus par des pays comme la Chine, sont tous dus à l'appui exceptionnel qu'ils ont reçu d'autres pays. C’est aussi le cas de l’Inde et cela pour d’autres raisons. Le différend entre la Chine et la Russie plusieurs années après Staline, considéré comme un différend entre l'Orient et l'Occident et peut-être un peu plus sérieux que cela, a poussé les Russes à aider l'Inde qui est un pays voisin de la Chine. Les Chinois eux, ont commencé à aider le Pakistan qui était un rival de l'Inde. Ceci montre bien que les facteurs politiques ont joué un rôle dans le choix des alliés. D'une part, la Chine a fourni la technologie nucléaire au Pakistan et d'autre part, la Russie a fourni l'énergie nucléaire et d'autres technologies à l'Inde. L'Inde et le Pakistan ont donc reçu cette technologie d'autres pays.
Les raisons du vacarme médiatique sur le nucléaire iranien
Ils font tout un brouhaha aujourd'hui dans le monde, sur l'affaire de l'énergie nucléaire.
Quelle est la position du monde vis-à-vis de l'Iran en particulier les pays d'Asie, du Moyen-Orient et les pays islamiques ?
Les Etats-Unis prétendent, les yeux fermés, que "le monde est contre l'enrichissement de l'uranium en Iran".
Non ! Vous ne connaissez pas le monde, vous ne le voyez même pas. Les nations du monde et les gouvernements de plus de cent pays non alignés, une cinquantaine de pays islamiques réunis dans l'Organisation de la Conférence Islamique (OCI), le mouvement des non-alignés et de nombreuses autres nations dans le monde sont contre le monopole de l'énergie nucléaire par certaines puissances arrogantes et admirent le peuple iranien pour son courage et sa persévérance dans ce domaine.
La nation iranienne poursuit son chemin avec détermination et force, et dans la joie, grâce à cette jeune génération, sage et intelligente, qui aujourd'hui se développe de jour en jour et approfondit une pensée qui remet en question les fondements idéologiques du monde occidental, et est un cadeau spirituel au monde de l'islam et aux nations musulmanes qui obligera le front de l'arrogance à reculer.
Les sionistes qui ont occupé les territoires palestiniens et le gouvernement américain qui fait preuve d’une grande hostilité et d'une profonde rancune contre la République islamique, sont prêts à utiliser tous les moyens possibles pour atteindre leurs objectifs malveillants. Ils répandent de fausses idées dans le monde, sur l'Iran qu'ils accusent d’être à la recherche de l'arme nucléaire. Pour atteindre leur objectif, ils ont sensibilisé l'opinion publique et de nombreux gouvernements sur cette question. Après cette propagande mensongère, ils ont essayé de convaincre le monde que les efforts scientifiques et les activités nucléaires de l'Iran représentaient une menace.
La République islamique leur a permis d'inspecter ses centres d'enrichissement. Ils sont venus dans notre pays pour surveiller nos activités d'enrichissement et ont été autorisés à inspecter partout où ils soupçonnaient un dérapage dans les activités d'enrichissement, afin qu'ils comprennent que la propagande des sionistes était un mensonge. Cela a été une attitude pacifique de notre part pour défendre notre technologie nucléaire.
La puissance matérielle et spirituelle
Pour défendre ses idéaux, toute nation a besoin de se renforcer et d'accroître sa puissance.
Bien sûr, la puissance définie par la religion est différente de celle qui existe dans la perspective matérialiste. Du point de vue matérialiste, le pouvoir réside dans la force militaire, les équipements avancés et perfectionnés, et les armes à destruction massive comme les armes nucléaires, chimiques et biologiques. Mais pour nous, le vrai pouvoir réside dans la nature des actes de ceux qui s'efforcent de défendre leurs droits et de réaliser leurs nobles idéaux, et qui sont prêts à faire toutes sortes de sacrifices pour atteindre leurs objectifs, ceux qui essaient de promouvoir la justice et les justes valeurs, et n’utilisent jamais leur puissance de manière brutale et injuste. Ils n'humilient et n’oppriment jamais les autres et n’agissent jamais de façon arrogante. Ils ne s'attaquent jamais aux territoires des autres nations pour piller leurs richesses nationales et leurs ressources naturelles.
Par contre, ceux qui comptent sur la puissance matérielle n'ont aucun respect pour les droits des autres ni pour les valeurs morales et spirituelles, car ils suivent la loi de la jungle. Ils pensent que puisqu'ils sont puissants, ce sont eux qui détiennent la vérité. C’est une grande erreur et une conclusion erronée.
La nécessité de détruire les armes à destruction massive
Depuis l'explosion des premières armes nucléaires utilisées par les États-Unis à Hiroshima et Nagasaki, et cette catastrophe humaine sans précédent dans l'Histoire, qui a mis en danger la sécurité du monde, la communauté internationale s'est montrée unanime sur la nécessité d'éliminer totalement ces armements. Non seulement l'utilisation des armes nucléaires a contribué à de vastes massacres et destructions, sans aucune distinction entre les militaires et les civil, les adultes et les enfants, les hommes et les femmes, les vieux et les jeunes, mais a eu aussi de graves conséquences qui ont dépassé les frontières politiques et géographiques, et ont porté préjudice aux générations suivantes.
Il est clair que toute utilisation et même toute menace d'utilisation de ces armes, sont une transgression évidente des droits humains et des cas évidents de crime de guerre.
La menace pour la paix mondiale
Du point de vue militaire et sécuritaire, après l'accès de quelques puissances à cette arme inhumaine, il est devenu évident qu'une victoire dans une guerre nucléaire était impossible et que son utilisation était irraisonnable et inhumaine. Pourtant, malgré ces évidences morales, logiques, humaines et même militaires, les demandes successives de la communauté internationale pour l'anéantissement de ces armes que possède un groupe limité de gouvernements qui bâtissent leur sécurité imaginaire sur l'insécurité internationale, ont été passées sous silence.
L'insistance de ces gouvernements pour maintenir, augmenter et renforcer le pouvoir de destruction de ces armes qui n'avaient et n'ont aucune fonction à part l'intimidation, la terreur collective et la création d'un faux sentiment de sécurité basé sur une force dissuasive assurée par la grande puissance de destruction de ces armes, a contribué à la poursuite de ce cauchemar nucléaire. De colossales ressources économiques et humaines sont consacrées à cette compétition démentielle pour que chacune des superpuissances ait l'illusion de jouir d'un pouvoir dix-mille fois plus fort que celui de ses rivaux, et de pouvoir détruire tous les habitants du globe, y compris eux-mêmes. Ce n'est pas pour rien que cette stratégie a été nommée force de dissuasion fondée sur une "destruction mutuelle assurée", une vraie folie en quelque sorte.
Ces dernières années, certains gouvernements ont dépassé la «doctrine de dissuasion et de destruction mutuelle", et ont mis l'accent sur le maintien du choix nucléaire dans la lutte contre les contrevenants au TNP, alors que les plus grands responsables de violations du Traité de non-prolifération sont les pouvoirs qui, en plus du mépris de leurs engagements à l'article 6 du TNP sur le désarmement nucléaire, ont dépassé les autres pays dans la prolifération verticale et horizontale de ces armements. Ils ont joué un rôle direct dans la prolifération de ces armes en équipant le régime sioniste au niveau nucléaire et en soutenant les politiques de ce régime. Ceci est contraire à l'article 1 du TNP et constitue une grave menace pour le Moyen-Orient et le monde. A la tête de ces gouvernements se trouve le régime arrogant et oppresseur des États-Unis.
La logique de l'Iran contre les pressions des puissances arrogantes
Les Etats-Unis doivent savoir que la République islamique d'Iran n'est pas un pays belliciste. La République islamique dans le cadre de ses principes, est opposée au bellicisme. L'Iran n'est pour aucune guerre. Tout le monde doit le savoir. C'est une position que tous les responsables de la République islamique partagent unanimement. Tous les responsables du gouvernement de la République islamique considèrent comme leur devoir d'éviter la guerre. Les principes islamiques exigent que l'Iran envoie un message d'amitié, de paix, d'amour, de sécurité et de tranquillité.
La nation iranienne est porteuse d'un message. Ceux qui n'ont rien à dire essaient naturellement de faire du bruit afin que personne ne puisse l'entendre. Ceux qui cherchent à imposer leur volonté préfèrent le tumulte alors que ceux qui ont des raisons logiques préfèrent une ambiance paisible dans laquelle ils puissent les présenter.
Le front capitaliste et colonialiste, à l'aide de ses réseaux médiatiques, politiques et économiques, exerce des pressions sur la nation iranienne pour l'obliger à renoncer non seulement à ses droits dans le domaine nucléaire qui sont légitimes, mais aussi à son droit à l'indépendance, au progrès scientifique et à sa liberté de décision. La nation iranienne avance aujourd'hui dans la voie du progrès scientifique et technologique, pour rattraper deux siècles de retard hérités des monarchies. Nos ennemis sont alarmés et ne veulent pas laisser notre nation qui se situe dans une partie stratégique du monde, atteindre ces objectifs. Ils ne veulent pas que la nation iranienne soit considérée comme le porte-étendard de l'Islam. C'est la raison pour laquelle ils exercent ces pressions mais la nation iranienne reste ferme. Les Etats-Unis ont appris par expérience, que les armes nucléaires sont inefficaces dans une confrontation avec les peuples et leur volonté. Ces armes peuvent intimider les gouvernements et les armées, mais ne peuvent jamais intimider les peuples.
Les revendications des nations
La nation iranienne a des objectifs élevés. Le slogan nucléaire crié dans diverses parties du pays "L'énergie nucléaire est notre droit incontestable" n'est pas une déclaration simple et ordinaire. Beaucoup de pays ne connaissent pas l'énergie nucléaire et ne savent pas qu'elle est un de leurs droits. Même s'ils le savaient, ils ne pourraient pas avancer dans ce domaine. Mais notre nation sait qu'il s'agit d'un critère de progrès actuellement, et qu'une nation perdrait beaucoup à ne pas en disposer. Notre nation qui sait aussi qu'il s'agit d'un droit indéniable, en a fait son slogan et le réclame à ses responsables. Elle sait aussi que son pays a le droit de jouir de ce droit légitime sans tenir compte de personne et sans l'aide d'autres pays. Cela est très important. C'est le vœu de notre nation et l'espoir de notre pays.
Aujourd'hui, le monde a les yeux fixés sur la nation iranienne et est encouragé par notre nation. Aujourd'hui, les slogans anti-impérialistes de la nation iranienne se répandent dans le monde de l'islam. Si vous vous rendez dans les pays islamiques, quel que soit leur système politique, vous remarquerez que les peuples estiment et admirent vos idéaux et vos slogans anti-impérialistes, de défense des opprimés, de soutien à la nation palestinienne et d'opposition au réseau sioniste. C'est la meilleure façon d'exporter la Révolution islamique. Aujourd'hui vous constatez que le slogan de l'énergie nucléaire, la résistance de la nation iranienne et la défense de ses droits, ont pris une telle envergure dans le monde de l'islam que les responsables des pays islamiques et arabes déclarent que l'énergie nucléaire est aussi une revendication de leur nation.
La violation des droits légitimes
La violation des droits de cette région par les Etats-Unis n'est pas limitée à quelques cas isolés. Depuis des années, ils nient le caractère civil de notre programme nucléaire. Voyez comment ils déforment les réalités et les mensonges qu'ils répandent, voyez les efforts qu'ils font pour s'opposer à la volonté d'une nation qui cherche à défendre ses droits légitimes et une réussite qu'elle a acquise par ses propres efforts. Notre nation affirme qu'elle ne cherche que l'énergie nucléaire civile, eux prétendent que la nation iranienne cherche à produire des armes nucléaires.
Pourquoi profèrent-ils de tels mensonges ? Pourquoi disent-ils de telles choses et poussent-ils la nation iranienne à les haïr ? C'est ce qu'ils font depuis des années. A plusieurs reprises, le peuple et les représentants du gouvernement ont annoncé officiellement qu'ils n'étaient absolument pas à la recherche de l'arme nucléaire qui n'a aucune place dans les besoins de la nation et le système militaire du pays. Nous croyons que l'utilisation d'armes nucléaires est religieusement illicite et interdite, et qu'il est du devoir de tous de faire des efforts pour protéger l'humanité contre ce grand danger. Nous croyons qu'en plus des armes nucléaires, les autres armes de destruction massive comme les armes chimiques et biologiques, constituent également une grave menace pour l'Humanité. Le peuple d'Iran qui a été lui-même victime de ces armes chimiques, est plus conscient des dangers de leur production et de leur stockage, et est prêt à mettre toutes ses ressources au service de la lutte contre ces armements.
Le plus étonnant est que le seul et unique responsable de crime nucléaire dans le monde prétend lutter contre la prolifération des armes nucléaires, alors qu'il n'a pris jusqu'ici et ne prendra pas dans l'avenir, aucune mesure sérieuse pour l'application de ses slogans. Si les slogans des États-Unis sur leur lutte contre la prolifération des armes nucléaires n'étaient pas un mensonge, comment le régime sioniste réussirait-il à contourner les règlements internationaux en particulier le Traité de non-prolifération (TNP) et à transformer les territoires occupés de Palestine en un centre de stockage d'armements nucléaires ?
L’Iran n’a pas besoin d’armes nucléaires
Ils confondent la technologie nucléaire et le développement des armes nucléaires. La vérité est différente. La technologie nucléaire et les armes nucléaires sont deux choses différentes et n’ont aucun lien entre elles. Les armes nucléaires sont à base d'uranium enrichi à plus de 90% grâce à l'utilisation de technologies complexes. Seuls ceux qui veulent produire des armes nucléaires s'engagent dans cette voie. La République islamique d'Iran n'a pas cette motivation et ne s'est jamais engagée dans cette voie. L'Iran n'a pas besoin de bombe atomique. L'Iran a vaincu ses ennemis sans recourir à l'arme nucléaire. La nation iranienne a réussi à vaincre les Usa pendant toutes ces années. N'est-ce pas une réalité ? Les Iraniens ont-ils vaincu les Etats-Unis grâce à leurs armes nucléaires ou en s'appuyant sur leur détermination, leur volonté, leur foi, leur vigilance et leur unité ?
L'Iran sait ce qu'il veut et sait comment l'obtenir. L'Iran avance dans ce sens et ne se laissera pas intimider par les menaces de telle ou telle puissance. C'est ainsi que l'Iran a surmonté ses ennemis. Il n'a pas utilisé d'armes nucléaires pour le faire. L’ex-Union soviétique ne disposait-elle pas de bombes atomiques ? Ses bombes atomiques étaient probablement plus nombreuses que celles des Etats-Unis et pourtant l'Union soviétique a disparu. La défaite et la victoire dans les domaines importants, ne sont pas déterminées par de telles choses.
La République islamique d'Iran a présenté un modèle au monde de l'Islam, un modèle de démocratie religieuse qui est un modèle d'indépendance et de gloire nationale. Aujourd'hui, le monde de l'Islam s'est retourné contre les Etats-Unis, et les nations du monde crient "Mort à l'Amérique". Quelle nation a la première, criée ce slogan ? En dehors de la République islamique et de la nation iranienne, qui a lancé ce slogan ?
Aujourd'hui tout le monde crie ce slogan. L’Iran islamique n'a pas fait de progrès en s'appuyant sur la bombe atomique. Il n'est pas possible de remporter des victoires mémorables et historiques, en s'appuyant sur de telles armes. Le régime sioniste ne dispose-t-il pas de bombes atomiques ? On estime que le régime sioniste a stocké 200 à 300 ogives nucléaires. Mais ces dernières années, le régime sioniste a été impuissant contre des gens qui n'avaient même pas d’armes et dont la seule arme était quelques pierres. Bien sûr, les pierres qu'ils jettent sont accompagnées de la volonté et de la foi.
L'Iran n'est pas à la recherche de la bombe nucléaire. Pourquoi l'Iran chercherait-il à fabriquer l'arme nucléaire ? Quand une bombe atomique explose elle ne touche pas que les ennemis. Au contraire, elle tue aussi des innocents et cela est contraire aux principes islamiques et aux principes de la République islamique d'Iran. Une bombe atomique ne fait aucune distinction entre les bons et les mauvais et ce n'est pas ce que la République islamique recherche. La République islamique s'appuie sur quelque chose qui ne peut pas être touchée par les bombes, les invasions étrangères et d'autres choses semblables qui ne font que renforcer la détermination du peuple.
quarta-feira, 11 de abril de 2012
A GUERRA DOS EUA-ISRAEL AO IRÃO: O MITO DE UMA CAMPANHA LIMITADA
8 abril 2012, Resistir.info http://www.resistir.info (Portugal)
http://www.resistir.info/petras/petras_05abr12.html
por James Petras
A crescente ameaça de um ataque militar dos EUA-Israel ao Irão baseia-se em vários factores incluindo: (1) a história militar recente de ambos os países na região; (2) pronunciamentos públicos de líderes políticos estado-unidenses e israelenses; (3) ataques recentes e em curso ao Líbano e à Síria, aliados importantes do Irão; (4) ataques armados e assassínios de cientistas e responsáveis de segurança iranianos por grupos terroristas e/ou afectos sob controle dos EUA ou da Mossad; (5) o fracasso das sanções económicas e da coacção diplomática; (6) escalada de histeria e exigências extremas ao Irão para por fim ao enriquecimento de urânio de uso legal e civil; (7) “exercícios” militares provocatórios nas fronteiras do Irão e jogos de guerra destinados a intimidar e a um ensaio geral para um ataque antecipativo; (8) pressão poderosa de grupos pró guerra tanto em Washington como em Tel Aviv incluindo os principais partidos políticos israelenses e a poderosa AIPAC nos EUA; (9) e finalmente o National Defense Authorization Act de 2012 (um orwelliano decreto de emergência de Obama, de 16/Março/2012).
A propaganda de guerra estado-unidense opera ao longo de dois trilhos: (1) a mensagem dominante enfatiza a proximidade da guerra e a disposição dos EUA de utilizarem força e violência. Esta mensagem é destinada ao Irão e coincide com anúncios israelenses de preparativos de guerra. (2) O segundo trilho tem como objectivo o “público liberal” com um punhado de “académicos reconhecidos” marginais (ou progressistas Departamento de Estado) a subestimarem a ameaça de guerra e argumentarem que decisores políticos razoáveis em Tel Aviv e Washington estão conscientes de que o Irão não possui armas nucleares ou qualquer capacidade para produzi-las agora ou no futuro próximo. A finalidade deste contra-vapor liberal é confundir e minar a maioria da opinião pública, a qual opõe-se claramente a mais preparativos de guerra, e fazer descarrilar o explosivo movimento anti-guerra.
É desnecessário dizer que os pronunciamentos os instigadores de guerra “racionais” utilizam um “duplo discurso” baseado no afastamento displicente de todas as evidências históricas e empíricas em contrário. Quando os EUA e Israel falam de guerra, preparam-se para a guerra e empenham-se e provocações pré guerra – eles pretendem ir à guerra – tal como fizeram contra o Iraque em 2003. Sob as actuais condições políticas e militares internacionais um ataque ao Irão, inicialmente por Israel com apoio dos EUA, é extremamente provável, mesmo quando as condições económicas mundiais deveriam ditar em contrário e mesmo quando as consequências estratégicas negativas provavelmente repercutir-se-ão através do mundo durante as próximas décadas.
Cálculo dos EUA e Israel sobre a capacidade militar do Irão
Os decisores estratégicos americanos e israelenses não concordam sobre as consequências da retaliação do Irão contra um ataque. Pelo seu lado, líderes israelenses minimizam a capacidade militar do Irão de atacar e de prejudicar o estado judeu, o qual é a sua única consideração. Eles contam com a distância, seu escudo anti-mísseis e a protecção de forças aéreas e navais dos EUA no Golfo para cobrir seu ataque sorrateiro. Por outro lado, estrategas militares dos EUA sabem que os iranianos são capazes de infligir baixas substanciais a navios de guerra dos EUA, os quais teriam de atacar instalações costeiras iranianas a fim de apoiar ou proteger os israelenses.
A inteligência israelense é bem conhecida pela sua capacidade para organizar o assassinato de indivíduos por todo o mundo: a Mossada organizou com êxito actos terroristas além-mar contra líderes palestinos, sírios e libaneses. Por outro lado, a inteligência israelense tem um registo muito fraco quanto às suas estimativas de grandes empreendimentos militares e políticos. Eles subestimaram gravemente o apoio popular, a força militar e a capacidade organizacional do Hezbollah durante a guerra de 2006 no Líbano. Da mesma forma, a inteligência israelense entendeu mal a força e a capacidade do movimento democrático popular egípcio quando este se levantou e derrubou o aliado regional estratégico de Tel Aviv, a ditadura Mubarak. Se bem que líderes israelenses “finjam paranóia” – lançando clichés acerca de “ameaças existenciais” – eles são enganados pela sua arrogância narcisista e o seu racismo, subestimando reiteradamente a perícia técnica e o refinamento político dos seus inimigos árabes e da região islâmica. Isto é indubitavelmente verdadeiro no seu descartar displicente da capacidade do Irão para retaliar contra um planeado assalto aéreo israelense.
O governo estado-unidense agora comprometeu-se abertamente a apoiar um assalto israelense ao Irão quando ele for lançado. Mais especificamente, Washington afirma que virá “incondicionalmente” em defesa de Israel se este for “atacado”. Como pode Israel evitar ser “atacado” quando seus aviões estão a despejar bombas e mísseis sobre instalações iranianas, defesas militares e infraestruturas estratégicas? Além disso, dada a colaboração e aos sistemas de inteligência do Pentágono coordenados com as Forças de Defesa de Israel (IDF), seu papel na identificação de objectivos, rotas e aproximações de mísseis, bem como as cadeias de fornecimento de armas integradas e de munições, serão críticos para um ataque das IDF. Não há maneira de os EUA se dissociarem da guerra do estado judeu ao Irão depois de iniciado o ataque.
Os mitos da “guerra limitada”: Geografia
Washington e Tel Aviv afirmam e parecem acreditar que o seu planeado assalto ao Irão será uma “guerra limitada”, tendo como alvo objectivos limitados e perdurando apenas uns poucos dias ou semanas – sem consequências graves.
Dizem-nos que brilhantes generais de Israel identificaram todas as instalações de investigação nuclear críticas, as quais os seus ataques aéreos cirúrgicos eliminarão sem danos colaterais horríveis para a população circundante. Uma vez que o alegado programa de “armas nucleares” fosse destruído, todos os israelenses poderiam retomar as suas vidas em segurança plena sabendo que outra ameaça “existencial” fora eliminada. A noção israelense de uma guerra limitada em “tempo e espaço” é absurda e perigosa – e caracteriza a arrogância, estupidez e racismo dos seus autores.
Para se aproximarem das instalações nucleares do Irão as forças israelenses e estado-unidenses confrontar-se-ão com bases bem equipadas e defendidas, instalações de mísseis, defesas marítimas e fortificações em grande escala dirigidas pelos Guardas Revolucionários e pelas Forças Armadas do Irão. Além disso, os sistemas de defesa de mísseis que protegem as instalações nucleares estão ligados a auto-estradas, aeródromos, portos e apoiadas por infraestrutura de finalidade dupla (civil-militar), as quais incluem refinarias de petróleo e uma enorme rede de gabinetes administrativos. Por “nocaute” os alegados sítios nucleares exigirá a expansão do âmbito geográfico da guerra. A capacidade científica-tecnológica do programa nuclear civil iraniano envolve um vasto conjunto das suas instalações de investigação, incluindo universidades, laboratórios, locais de fabricação e centros de concepção. Destruir o programa nuclear civil do Irão exigiria que Israel (e portanto os EUA) atacassem muito mais do que instalações de investigação ou laboratórios ocultos sob uma montanha remota. Exigiria assaltos múltiplos e generalizados sobre alvos por todo o país, por outras palavras, uma guerra generalizada.
O líder supremo do Irão, ayatollah Ali Khamenei, declarou que o Irão retaliará com uma guerra equivalente. O Irão corresponderá à amplitude e âmbito de com um contra-ataque de resposta. “Nós os atacaremos no mesmo nível quando eles nos atacarem”. Isso significa que o Irão não limitará a sua retaliação a meramente tentar deitar abaixo bombardeiros estado-unidenses e israelenses no seu espaço aéreo ou a lançar mísseis a navios dos EUA nas suas águas mas levará a guerra a alvos equivalente em Israel e em países ocupados pelos EUA no Golfo e em torno dele. A “guerra limitada” de Israel tornar-se-á uma guerra generalizada que se estenderá por todo o Médio Oriente e ainda mais além.
A actual adoração ilusória de Israel acerca do seu elaborado sistema de defesa míssil ficará exposta quando centenas de mísseis de alto poder forem lançados de Teerão, do Sul do Líbano e bem além das Alturas de Golan.
O mito da guerra limitada: Intervalo de tempo
Peritos militares israelenses esperam confiantemente exterminar seus alvos iranianos nuns poucos dias – alguns podem pensar que num simples fim de semana – e talvez sem a perda de nem um único piloto. Eles esperam que o estado judeu venha a celebrar a sua brilhante vitória nas ruas de Tel Aviv e Washington. Estão iludidos pelo seu próprio senso de superioridade. O Irão não combateu uma guerra brutal com uma década de duração contra os invasores iraquianos abastecidos pelos EUA e os seus conselheiros militares ocidentais/israelenses só para entregar-se e submeter-se passivamente a um número limitado de ataques aéreos e com mísseis por parte de Israel. O Irão é uma sociedade jovem, bem educada e mobilizada, a qual pode utilizar milhões de reservistas de todo espectro político, étnico, de género e religioso, galvanizado em apoio a sua nação sob ataque. Numa guerra para defender a pátria todas as diferenças internas desaparecem para enfrentar o ataque não provocado israelenses-estado-unidense que ameaça toda a sua civilização – seus 5000 anos de cultura e tradições, bem como os seus avanços científicos modernos e instituições. A primeira onda de ataques dos EUA-Israel levará a uma retaliação feroz, a qual não será confinada às áreas originais do conflito, nem qualquer acto da agressão israelense acabará quando e se instalações nucleares do Irão forem destruídas e alguns dos seus cientistas, técnicos e trabalhadores qualificados forem mortos. A guerra continuará no tempo e em extensão geográfica.
Múltiplos pontos de conflito
Assim como qualquer ataque dos EUA-Israel ao Irão envolveria alvos múltiplos, os militares iranianos também terão uma pletora de alvos estratégicos facilmente acessíveis. Embora seja difícil prever onde e como o Irão retaliará, uma coisa está clara: O ataque inicial dos EUA-Israel não ficará sem resposta.
Dada a supremacia israelense-estado-unidense a longas e médias distâncias e em poder aéreo, o Irão provavelmente confiará em objectivos de curta distância. Isto incluiria as valiosas instalações militares do EUA e rotas de abastecimento em terrenos adjacentes (Iraque, Kuwait e Afeganistão) e alvos israelenses com mísseis lançados do Sul do Líbano e possivelmente da Síria. Se uns poucos misseis de longo alcance escaparem ao muito gabado “escudo anti-míssil” do estado judeu, centros populacionais israelenses podem pagar um preço pesado pela imprudência e arrogância dos seus líderes.
O contra-ataque iraniano levará a uma escalada das forças EUA-Israel, estendendo e aprofundando a sua guerra aérea e naval a todos o sistema de segurança nacional iraniano – bases militares, portos, sistemas de comunicação, postos de comando e centros administrativos do governo – muitos em cidades densamente povoadas. O Irão reagirá lançando o seu maior activo estratégico: um ataque coordenado no solo envolvendo os Guardas Revolucionários, juntamente com seus aliados entre as tropas xiitas iraquianas, contra forças dos EUA no Iraque. Ele coordenará ataques contra instalações dos EUA no Afeganistão e Paquistão com a crescente resistência armada nacionalista-islâmica.
O conflito inicial, centrado nos chamados objectivos militares estratégicos (instalações de investigação científica), generalizar-se-á rapidamente a alvos económicos ou o que os estrategas militares dos EUA e Israel chamam de alvos “duais civis-militares”. Isto incluiria campos de petróleo, auto-estradas, fábricas, redes de comunicações, estações de televisão, instalações de tratamento de água, reservatórios, centrais eléctricas e gabinetes administrativos, tais como o Ministério da Defesa e a sede da Guarda Republicana. O Irão, confrontada com a destruição iminente de toda a sua economia e infraestrutura (o que se verificou no Iraque vizinho com a invasão não provocada dos EUA em 2003), retaliaria bloqueando o Estreito de Ormuz e enviando mísseis de curto alcance na direcção dos principais campos de petróleo e refinarias dos Estados do Golfo incluindo o Kuwait e a Arábia Saudita, a meros 10 minutos de distância, paralisando o fluxo de petróleo para a Europa, Ásia e os Estados Unidos e mergulhando a economia mundial numa depressão profunda.
Não se deveria esquecer que os iranianos provavelmente estão mais conscientes do que ninguém na região da devastação total sofrida pelos iraquianos após a invasão dos EUA, a qual mergulhou aquela nação no caos total e devastou a sua infraestrutura avançada e o seu aparelho administrativo civil, para não mencionar a sistemática aniquilação da sua elite científica e técnica altamente educada. As ondas de assassínios de cientistas iranianos, académicos e engenheiros promovidas pela Mossad são apenas uma antevisão do que os israelenses têm em mente para cientistas, intelectuais e trabalhadores técnicos altamente qualificados. Os iranianos não deveriam ter ilusões acerca dos americanos e israelenses que procuram lançar o país na sombria era brutal do Afeganistão e Iraque. Eles não terão mais papel num Irão devastado do que têm os seus vizinhos no Iraque pós Saddam.
Segundo o general Mathis, que comanda todas as forças dos EUA no Médio Oriente, Golfo Pérsico e Sudeste da Ásia, “um primeiro ataque israelense provavelmente teria consequências calamitosas em toda a região e para os Estados Unidos ali” (NY Times, 19/3/12). A estimativa de “consequências calamitosas” do general Mathis apenas leva em conta as perdas militares dos EUA, provavelmente centenas de marinheiros em vasos de guerra ao alcance de mísseis de artilheiros iranianos.
Contudo, a mais ilusória e auto-enganosa avaliação do resultado e consequências de um ataque aéreo israelense ao Irão provém de líderes israelenses de topo, académicos e peritos de inteligência, que afirmam [ter] inteligência superior, defesas superiores e visão suprema (e também racista) dentro da “mente iraniana”. É típico o ministro da Defesa israelense, Barak, que se jacta de que qualquer retaliação iraniana na pior das hipóteses infligirá baixas mínimas à população israelense.
A visão “judeu-cêntrica” de reordenamento do equilíbrio de poder na região, a qual prevalece nos principais círculos israelenses, passa por alto a probabilidade de que a guerra não será decidia por ataques aéreos israelenses e defesas anti-míssil. Os mísseis do Irão não podem ser facilmente contidos, especialmente chegarem várias centenas por minuto de três direcções, Irão, Líbano, Síria e possivelmente de submarinos iranianos. Em segundo lugar, o colapso das suas importações de petróleo devastará a economia de Israel, altamente dependente da energia. Em terceiro lugar, os principais aliados de Israel, especialmente os EUA e a UE, serão gravemente tensionados quando forem arrastados para dentro da guerra de Israel e encontrarem-se a defender os estreitos de Ormuz, suas guarnições no Iraque e no Afeganistão e seus campos de petróleo e bases militares no Golfo. Tal conflito poderia incendiar as maiorias xiitas no Bahrain e nas províncias estratégicas ricas em petróleo da Arábia Saudita. A guerra generalizada terá um efeito devastador sobre o preço do petróleo e a economia mundial. Provocará a fúria de consumidores e a ira de trabalhadores por toda a parte quando fecharem fábricas e choques poderosos por todo o frágil sistema financeiro resultarem numa depressão mundial.
O patológico “complexo de superioridade” de Israel resulta em que os seus líderes racistas sistematicamente super-estimam suas próprias capacidades intelectuais, técnicas e militares, ao passo que subestimam o conhecimento, capacidade e coragem dos seus adversários regionais, islâmicos (neste caso iranianos). Eles ignoram a capacidade demonstrada do Irão para sustentar uma guerra defensiva prolongada, complexa e em muitas frentes e em recuperar-se de um assalto inicial e desenvolver armamento moderno adequado para infligir danos severos aos seus atacantes. E o Irão terá o apoio incondicional e activo da população muçulmana do mundo e talvez o apoio diplomático da Rússia e da China, que obviamente verão um ataque ao Irão como um outro ensaio geral para conter o seu poder crescente.
Conclusão
A guerra, especialmente uma guerra israelense-estado-unidense contra o Irão, está indissoluvelmente ligada ao relacionamento assimétrico EUA-Israel, o qual secundariza qualquer análise militar e política crítica nos EUA. Devido à configuração de poder sionista de Israel, a força militar dos EUA pode ser canalizada para o apoio ao impulso de Israel para a dominação regional, aos líderes israelenses e acima de tudo para os seus militares sentirem-se livres para entrarem nas mais ultrajantes aventuras militares e destrutivas, sabendo muito bem que em primeira e última instância podem confiar no apoio dos EUA com o sangue e as riquezas americanas. Mas depois de todo este grotesco servilismo a um país racista e isolado, quem resgatará os Estados Unidos? Quem impedirá o afundamento dos seus navios no Golfo e a morte e mutilação de centenas dos seus marinheiros e milhares dos seus soldados? E onde estarão os israelenses e sionistas dos EUA quando o Iraque for invadido pelas tropas de elite iranianas e seus aliados xiitas e um levantamento generalizado se verificar no Afeganistão?
Os decisores políticos egocêntricos de Israel desprezam o provável colapso do abastecimento de petróleo mundial em consequência da sua planeada guerra contra o Irão. Será que os seus agentes sionistas nos EUA percebem que, em consequência do arrastamento dos EUA para a guerra de Israel, a nação iraniana será forçada a por em chamas os campos de petróleo do Golfo Pérsico?
Quão barato tornou-se “comprar uma guerra” nos EUA? Por uns meros poucos milhões de dólares em contribuições de campanha para políticos corruptos e através da penetração deliberada de agentes “Israel-First”, académicos e políticos na maquinaria de fazer a guerra do governo estado-unidense, e através da covardia moral e auto-censura dos principais críticos, escritores e jornalistas que se recusam a nomear Israel e seus agentes como os decisores chave do nosso país na política do Médio Oriente, nós nos encaminhamos directamente rumo a uma guerra muito além de qualquer conflagração militar regional e rumo ao colapso da economia mundial e do empobrecimento brutal de centenas de milhões de pessoas de Norte a Sul, de Leste a Oeste.
05/Abril/2012
O original encontra-se em http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=30150
http://www.resistir.info/petras/petras_05abr12.html
por James Petras
A crescente ameaça de um ataque militar dos EUA-Israel ao Irão baseia-se em vários factores incluindo: (1) a história militar recente de ambos os países na região; (2) pronunciamentos públicos de líderes políticos estado-unidenses e israelenses; (3) ataques recentes e em curso ao Líbano e à Síria, aliados importantes do Irão; (4) ataques armados e assassínios de cientistas e responsáveis de segurança iranianos por grupos terroristas e/ou afectos sob controle dos EUA ou da Mossad; (5) o fracasso das sanções económicas e da coacção diplomática; (6) escalada de histeria e exigências extremas ao Irão para por fim ao enriquecimento de urânio de uso legal e civil; (7) “exercícios” militares provocatórios nas fronteiras do Irão e jogos de guerra destinados a intimidar e a um ensaio geral para um ataque antecipativo; (8) pressão poderosa de grupos pró guerra tanto em Washington como em Tel Aviv incluindo os principais partidos políticos israelenses e a poderosa AIPAC nos EUA; (9) e finalmente o National Defense Authorization Act de 2012 (um orwelliano decreto de emergência de Obama, de 16/Março/2012).
A propaganda de guerra estado-unidense opera ao longo de dois trilhos: (1) a mensagem dominante enfatiza a proximidade da guerra e a disposição dos EUA de utilizarem força e violência. Esta mensagem é destinada ao Irão e coincide com anúncios israelenses de preparativos de guerra. (2) O segundo trilho tem como objectivo o “público liberal” com um punhado de “académicos reconhecidos” marginais (ou progressistas Departamento de Estado) a subestimarem a ameaça de guerra e argumentarem que decisores políticos razoáveis em Tel Aviv e Washington estão conscientes de que o Irão não possui armas nucleares ou qualquer capacidade para produzi-las agora ou no futuro próximo. A finalidade deste contra-vapor liberal é confundir e minar a maioria da opinião pública, a qual opõe-se claramente a mais preparativos de guerra, e fazer descarrilar o explosivo movimento anti-guerra.
É desnecessário dizer que os pronunciamentos os instigadores de guerra “racionais” utilizam um “duplo discurso” baseado no afastamento displicente de todas as evidências históricas e empíricas em contrário. Quando os EUA e Israel falam de guerra, preparam-se para a guerra e empenham-se e provocações pré guerra – eles pretendem ir à guerra – tal como fizeram contra o Iraque em 2003. Sob as actuais condições políticas e militares internacionais um ataque ao Irão, inicialmente por Israel com apoio dos EUA, é extremamente provável, mesmo quando as condições económicas mundiais deveriam ditar em contrário e mesmo quando as consequências estratégicas negativas provavelmente repercutir-se-ão através do mundo durante as próximas décadas.
Cálculo dos EUA e Israel sobre a capacidade militar do Irão
Os decisores estratégicos americanos e israelenses não concordam sobre as consequências da retaliação do Irão contra um ataque. Pelo seu lado, líderes israelenses minimizam a capacidade militar do Irão de atacar e de prejudicar o estado judeu, o qual é a sua única consideração. Eles contam com a distância, seu escudo anti-mísseis e a protecção de forças aéreas e navais dos EUA no Golfo para cobrir seu ataque sorrateiro. Por outro lado, estrategas militares dos EUA sabem que os iranianos são capazes de infligir baixas substanciais a navios de guerra dos EUA, os quais teriam de atacar instalações costeiras iranianas a fim de apoiar ou proteger os israelenses.
A inteligência israelense é bem conhecida pela sua capacidade para organizar o assassinato de indivíduos por todo o mundo: a Mossada organizou com êxito actos terroristas além-mar contra líderes palestinos, sírios e libaneses. Por outro lado, a inteligência israelense tem um registo muito fraco quanto às suas estimativas de grandes empreendimentos militares e políticos. Eles subestimaram gravemente o apoio popular, a força militar e a capacidade organizacional do Hezbollah durante a guerra de 2006 no Líbano. Da mesma forma, a inteligência israelense entendeu mal a força e a capacidade do movimento democrático popular egípcio quando este se levantou e derrubou o aliado regional estratégico de Tel Aviv, a ditadura Mubarak. Se bem que líderes israelenses “finjam paranóia” – lançando clichés acerca de “ameaças existenciais” – eles são enganados pela sua arrogância narcisista e o seu racismo, subestimando reiteradamente a perícia técnica e o refinamento político dos seus inimigos árabes e da região islâmica. Isto é indubitavelmente verdadeiro no seu descartar displicente da capacidade do Irão para retaliar contra um planeado assalto aéreo israelense.
O governo estado-unidense agora comprometeu-se abertamente a apoiar um assalto israelense ao Irão quando ele for lançado. Mais especificamente, Washington afirma que virá “incondicionalmente” em defesa de Israel se este for “atacado”. Como pode Israel evitar ser “atacado” quando seus aviões estão a despejar bombas e mísseis sobre instalações iranianas, defesas militares e infraestruturas estratégicas? Além disso, dada a colaboração e aos sistemas de inteligência do Pentágono coordenados com as Forças de Defesa de Israel (IDF), seu papel na identificação de objectivos, rotas e aproximações de mísseis, bem como as cadeias de fornecimento de armas integradas e de munições, serão críticos para um ataque das IDF. Não há maneira de os EUA se dissociarem da guerra do estado judeu ao Irão depois de iniciado o ataque.
Os mitos da “guerra limitada”: Geografia
Washington e Tel Aviv afirmam e parecem acreditar que o seu planeado assalto ao Irão será uma “guerra limitada”, tendo como alvo objectivos limitados e perdurando apenas uns poucos dias ou semanas – sem consequências graves.
Dizem-nos que brilhantes generais de Israel identificaram todas as instalações de investigação nuclear críticas, as quais os seus ataques aéreos cirúrgicos eliminarão sem danos colaterais horríveis para a população circundante. Uma vez que o alegado programa de “armas nucleares” fosse destruído, todos os israelenses poderiam retomar as suas vidas em segurança plena sabendo que outra ameaça “existencial” fora eliminada. A noção israelense de uma guerra limitada em “tempo e espaço” é absurda e perigosa – e caracteriza a arrogância, estupidez e racismo dos seus autores.
Para se aproximarem das instalações nucleares do Irão as forças israelenses e estado-unidenses confrontar-se-ão com bases bem equipadas e defendidas, instalações de mísseis, defesas marítimas e fortificações em grande escala dirigidas pelos Guardas Revolucionários e pelas Forças Armadas do Irão. Além disso, os sistemas de defesa de mísseis que protegem as instalações nucleares estão ligados a auto-estradas, aeródromos, portos e apoiadas por infraestrutura de finalidade dupla (civil-militar), as quais incluem refinarias de petróleo e uma enorme rede de gabinetes administrativos. Por “nocaute” os alegados sítios nucleares exigirá a expansão do âmbito geográfico da guerra. A capacidade científica-tecnológica do programa nuclear civil iraniano envolve um vasto conjunto das suas instalações de investigação, incluindo universidades, laboratórios, locais de fabricação e centros de concepção. Destruir o programa nuclear civil do Irão exigiria que Israel (e portanto os EUA) atacassem muito mais do que instalações de investigação ou laboratórios ocultos sob uma montanha remota. Exigiria assaltos múltiplos e generalizados sobre alvos por todo o país, por outras palavras, uma guerra generalizada.
O líder supremo do Irão, ayatollah Ali Khamenei, declarou que o Irão retaliará com uma guerra equivalente. O Irão corresponderá à amplitude e âmbito de com um contra-ataque de resposta. “Nós os atacaremos no mesmo nível quando eles nos atacarem”. Isso significa que o Irão não limitará a sua retaliação a meramente tentar deitar abaixo bombardeiros estado-unidenses e israelenses no seu espaço aéreo ou a lançar mísseis a navios dos EUA nas suas águas mas levará a guerra a alvos equivalente em Israel e em países ocupados pelos EUA no Golfo e em torno dele. A “guerra limitada” de Israel tornar-se-á uma guerra generalizada que se estenderá por todo o Médio Oriente e ainda mais além.
A actual adoração ilusória de Israel acerca do seu elaborado sistema de defesa míssil ficará exposta quando centenas de mísseis de alto poder forem lançados de Teerão, do Sul do Líbano e bem além das Alturas de Golan.
O mito da guerra limitada: Intervalo de tempo
Peritos militares israelenses esperam confiantemente exterminar seus alvos iranianos nuns poucos dias – alguns podem pensar que num simples fim de semana – e talvez sem a perda de nem um único piloto. Eles esperam que o estado judeu venha a celebrar a sua brilhante vitória nas ruas de Tel Aviv e Washington. Estão iludidos pelo seu próprio senso de superioridade. O Irão não combateu uma guerra brutal com uma década de duração contra os invasores iraquianos abastecidos pelos EUA e os seus conselheiros militares ocidentais/israelenses só para entregar-se e submeter-se passivamente a um número limitado de ataques aéreos e com mísseis por parte de Israel. O Irão é uma sociedade jovem, bem educada e mobilizada, a qual pode utilizar milhões de reservistas de todo espectro político, étnico, de género e religioso, galvanizado em apoio a sua nação sob ataque. Numa guerra para defender a pátria todas as diferenças internas desaparecem para enfrentar o ataque não provocado israelenses-estado-unidense que ameaça toda a sua civilização – seus 5000 anos de cultura e tradições, bem como os seus avanços científicos modernos e instituições. A primeira onda de ataques dos EUA-Israel levará a uma retaliação feroz, a qual não será confinada às áreas originais do conflito, nem qualquer acto da agressão israelense acabará quando e se instalações nucleares do Irão forem destruídas e alguns dos seus cientistas, técnicos e trabalhadores qualificados forem mortos. A guerra continuará no tempo e em extensão geográfica.
Múltiplos pontos de conflito
Assim como qualquer ataque dos EUA-Israel ao Irão envolveria alvos múltiplos, os militares iranianos também terão uma pletora de alvos estratégicos facilmente acessíveis. Embora seja difícil prever onde e como o Irão retaliará, uma coisa está clara: O ataque inicial dos EUA-Israel não ficará sem resposta.
Dada a supremacia israelense-estado-unidense a longas e médias distâncias e em poder aéreo, o Irão provavelmente confiará em objectivos de curta distância. Isto incluiria as valiosas instalações militares do EUA e rotas de abastecimento em terrenos adjacentes (Iraque, Kuwait e Afeganistão) e alvos israelenses com mísseis lançados do Sul do Líbano e possivelmente da Síria. Se uns poucos misseis de longo alcance escaparem ao muito gabado “escudo anti-míssil” do estado judeu, centros populacionais israelenses podem pagar um preço pesado pela imprudência e arrogância dos seus líderes.
O contra-ataque iraniano levará a uma escalada das forças EUA-Israel, estendendo e aprofundando a sua guerra aérea e naval a todos o sistema de segurança nacional iraniano – bases militares, portos, sistemas de comunicação, postos de comando e centros administrativos do governo – muitos em cidades densamente povoadas. O Irão reagirá lançando o seu maior activo estratégico: um ataque coordenado no solo envolvendo os Guardas Revolucionários, juntamente com seus aliados entre as tropas xiitas iraquianas, contra forças dos EUA no Iraque. Ele coordenará ataques contra instalações dos EUA no Afeganistão e Paquistão com a crescente resistência armada nacionalista-islâmica.
O conflito inicial, centrado nos chamados objectivos militares estratégicos (instalações de investigação científica), generalizar-se-á rapidamente a alvos económicos ou o que os estrategas militares dos EUA e Israel chamam de alvos “duais civis-militares”. Isto incluiria campos de petróleo, auto-estradas, fábricas, redes de comunicações, estações de televisão, instalações de tratamento de água, reservatórios, centrais eléctricas e gabinetes administrativos, tais como o Ministério da Defesa e a sede da Guarda Republicana. O Irão, confrontada com a destruição iminente de toda a sua economia e infraestrutura (o que se verificou no Iraque vizinho com a invasão não provocada dos EUA em 2003), retaliaria bloqueando o Estreito de Ormuz e enviando mísseis de curto alcance na direcção dos principais campos de petróleo e refinarias dos Estados do Golfo incluindo o Kuwait e a Arábia Saudita, a meros 10 minutos de distância, paralisando o fluxo de petróleo para a Europa, Ásia e os Estados Unidos e mergulhando a economia mundial numa depressão profunda.
Não se deveria esquecer que os iranianos provavelmente estão mais conscientes do que ninguém na região da devastação total sofrida pelos iraquianos após a invasão dos EUA, a qual mergulhou aquela nação no caos total e devastou a sua infraestrutura avançada e o seu aparelho administrativo civil, para não mencionar a sistemática aniquilação da sua elite científica e técnica altamente educada. As ondas de assassínios de cientistas iranianos, académicos e engenheiros promovidas pela Mossad são apenas uma antevisão do que os israelenses têm em mente para cientistas, intelectuais e trabalhadores técnicos altamente qualificados. Os iranianos não deveriam ter ilusões acerca dos americanos e israelenses que procuram lançar o país na sombria era brutal do Afeganistão e Iraque. Eles não terão mais papel num Irão devastado do que têm os seus vizinhos no Iraque pós Saddam.
Segundo o general Mathis, que comanda todas as forças dos EUA no Médio Oriente, Golfo Pérsico e Sudeste da Ásia, “um primeiro ataque israelense provavelmente teria consequências calamitosas em toda a região e para os Estados Unidos ali” (NY Times, 19/3/12). A estimativa de “consequências calamitosas” do general Mathis apenas leva em conta as perdas militares dos EUA, provavelmente centenas de marinheiros em vasos de guerra ao alcance de mísseis de artilheiros iranianos.
Contudo, a mais ilusória e auto-enganosa avaliação do resultado e consequências de um ataque aéreo israelense ao Irão provém de líderes israelenses de topo, académicos e peritos de inteligência, que afirmam [ter] inteligência superior, defesas superiores e visão suprema (e também racista) dentro da “mente iraniana”. É típico o ministro da Defesa israelense, Barak, que se jacta de que qualquer retaliação iraniana na pior das hipóteses infligirá baixas mínimas à população israelense.
A visão “judeu-cêntrica” de reordenamento do equilíbrio de poder na região, a qual prevalece nos principais círculos israelenses, passa por alto a probabilidade de que a guerra não será decidia por ataques aéreos israelenses e defesas anti-míssil. Os mísseis do Irão não podem ser facilmente contidos, especialmente chegarem várias centenas por minuto de três direcções, Irão, Líbano, Síria e possivelmente de submarinos iranianos. Em segundo lugar, o colapso das suas importações de petróleo devastará a economia de Israel, altamente dependente da energia. Em terceiro lugar, os principais aliados de Israel, especialmente os EUA e a UE, serão gravemente tensionados quando forem arrastados para dentro da guerra de Israel e encontrarem-se a defender os estreitos de Ormuz, suas guarnições no Iraque e no Afeganistão e seus campos de petróleo e bases militares no Golfo. Tal conflito poderia incendiar as maiorias xiitas no Bahrain e nas províncias estratégicas ricas em petróleo da Arábia Saudita. A guerra generalizada terá um efeito devastador sobre o preço do petróleo e a economia mundial. Provocará a fúria de consumidores e a ira de trabalhadores por toda a parte quando fecharem fábricas e choques poderosos por todo o frágil sistema financeiro resultarem numa depressão mundial.
O patológico “complexo de superioridade” de Israel resulta em que os seus líderes racistas sistematicamente super-estimam suas próprias capacidades intelectuais, técnicas e militares, ao passo que subestimam o conhecimento, capacidade e coragem dos seus adversários regionais, islâmicos (neste caso iranianos). Eles ignoram a capacidade demonstrada do Irão para sustentar uma guerra defensiva prolongada, complexa e em muitas frentes e em recuperar-se de um assalto inicial e desenvolver armamento moderno adequado para infligir danos severos aos seus atacantes. E o Irão terá o apoio incondicional e activo da população muçulmana do mundo e talvez o apoio diplomático da Rússia e da China, que obviamente verão um ataque ao Irão como um outro ensaio geral para conter o seu poder crescente.
Conclusão
A guerra, especialmente uma guerra israelense-estado-unidense contra o Irão, está indissoluvelmente ligada ao relacionamento assimétrico EUA-Israel, o qual secundariza qualquer análise militar e política crítica nos EUA. Devido à configuração de poder sionista de Israel, a força militar dos EUA pode ser canalizada para o apoio ao impulso de Israel para a dominação regional, aos líderes israelenses e acima de tudo para os seus militares sentirem-se livres para entrarem nas mais ultrajantes aventuras militares e destrutivas, sabendo muito bem que em primeira e última instância podem confiar no apoio dos EUA com o sangue e as riquezas americanas. Mas depois de todo este grotesco servilismo a um país racista e isolado, quem resgatará os Estados Unidos? Quem impedirá o afundamento dos seus navios no Golfo e a morte e mutilação de centenas dos seus marinheiros e milhares dos seus soldados? E onde estarão os israelenses e sionistas dos EUA quando o Iraque for invadido pelas tropas de elite iranianas e seus aliados xiitas e um levantamento generalizado se verificar no Afeganistão?
Os decisores políticos egocêntricos de Israel desprezam o provável colapso do abastecimento de petróleo mundial em consequência da sua planeada guerra contra o Irão. Será que os seus agentes sionistas nos EUA percebem que, em consequência do arrastamento dos EUA para a guerra de Israel, a nação iraniana será forçada a por em chamas os campos de petróleo do Golfo Pérsico?
Quão barato tornou-se “comprar uma guerra” nos EUA? Por uns meros poucos milhões de dólares em contribuições de campanha para políticos corruptos e através da penetração deliberada de agentes “Israel-First”, académicos e políticos na maquinaria de fazer a guerra do governo estado-unidense, e através da covardia moral e auto-censura dos principais críticos, escritores e jornalistas que se recusam a nomear Israel e seus agentes como os decisores chave do nosso país na política do Médio Oriente, nós nos encaminhamos directamente rumo a uma guerra muito além de qualquer conflagração militar regional e rumo ao colapso da economia mundial e do empobrecimento brutal de centenas de milhões de pessoas de Norte a Sul, de Leste a Oeste.
05/Abril/2012
O original encontra-se em http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=30150
US-ISRAEL WAR ON IRAN : THE MYTH OF LIMITED WARFARE
April 5, 2012, Global Research http://www.globalresearch.ca (Canada)
By Prof. James Petras
Introduction
The mounting threat of a US-Israeli military attack against Iran is based on several factors including: (1) the recent military history of both countries in the region, (2) public pronouncements by US and Israeli political leaders, (3) recent and on-going attacks on Lebanon and Syria, prominent allies of Iran, (4) armed attacks and assassinations of Iranian scientists and security officials by proxy and/or terrorist groups under US or Mossad control, (5) the failure of economic sanctions and diplomatic coercion, (6) escalating hysteria and extreme demands for Iran to end legal, civilian use-related uranium enrichment, (7) provocative military ‘exercises’ on Iran’s borders and war games designed for intimidation and a dress rehearsal for a preemptive attack, (8) powerful pro-war pressure groups in both Washington and Tel Aviv including the major Israeli political parties and the powerful AIPAC in the US, (9) and lastly the 2012 National Defense Authorization Act (Obama’s Orwellian Emergency Decree, March 16, 2012).
The US propaganda war operates along two tracks: (1) the dominant message emphasizes the proximity of war and the willingness of the US to use force and violence. This message is directed at Iran and coincides with Israeli announcements of war preparations. (2) The second track targets the ‘liberal public’ with a handful of marginal ‘knowledgeable academics’ (or State Department progressives) playing down the war threat and arguing that reasonable policy makers in Tel Aviv and Washington are aware that Iran does not possess nuclear weapons or any capacity to produce them now or in the near future. The purpose of this liberal backpedaling is to confuse and undermine the majority public opinion, which is clearly opposed to more war preparations, and to derail the burgeoning anti-war movement.
Needless to say the pronouncements of the ‘rational’ warmongers use a ‘double discourse’ based on the facile dismissal of all the historical and empirical evidence to the contrary. When the US and Israel talk of war, prepare for war and engage in pre-war provocations – they intend to go to war – just as they did against Iraq in 2003. Under present international political and military conditions an attack on Iran , initially by Israel with US support, is extremely likely, even as world economic conditions should dictate otherwise and even as the negative strategic consequences will most likely reverberate throughout the world for decades to come.
US and Israeli Military Calculations on Iran’s Capability
American and Israeli strategic policy makers do not agree on the consequences of Iran ’s retaliation against an attack. For their part, the Israeli leaders minimize Iran ’s military capacity to attack and damage the Jewish state, which is their only consideration. They count on their distance, their anti-missile shield and protection from US air and naval forces in the Gulf to cover their sneak attack. On the other hand, US military strategists know the Iranians are capable of inflicting substantial casualties on US warships, which would have to attack Iranian coastal installations in order to support or protect the Israelis.
Israel intelligence is best known for its capacity to organize the assassination of individuals around the world: Mossad has organized successful overseas terrorists acts against Palestinian, Syrian, and Lebanese leaders. On the other hand Israeli intelligence has a very poor track record with regard to its estimates of major military and political undertakings. They seriously underestimated the popular support, military strength and organizational capacity of Hezbollah during the 2006 war in Lebanon . Likewise, Israel intelligence misunderstood the strength and capacity of the Egyptian popular democratic movement as it rose up and overthrew Tel Aviv’s strategic regional ally, the Mubarak dictatorship. While Israeli leaders ‘feign paranoia’ – tossing clichés about ‘existential threats’– they are blinded by their narcissistic arrogance and racism, repeatedly underestimating the technical expertise and political sophistication of their Arab and regional Islamic foes. This is undoubtedly true in their facile dismissal of Iran ’s capacity to retaliate against a planned Israeli air assault.
The US government has now overtly committed itself to supporting an Israeli assault on Iran when it is launched. More specifically, Washington claims it will come to Israel ’s defense ‘unconditionally’ if it is “attacked”. How can Israel avoid being ‘attacked’ when its planes are raining bombs and missiles on Iranian installations, military defenses and support systems, not to mention Iranian cities, ports and strategic infrastructure? Moreover, given the Pentagon’s collaboration and coordinated intelligence systems with the Israel Defense Forces, its role in identifying targets, routes and incoming missiles, as well as integrated weapons and ordinance supply chains will be critical to an IDF attack. There is no way that the US can dissociate itself from the Jewish State’s war on Iran , once the attack has begun.
The Myths of ‘Limited War’: Geography
Washington and Tel Aviv claim and appear to believe that their planned assault on Iran will be a “limited war”, targeting limited objectives and lasting a few days or weeks – with no serious consequences.
We are told Israel ’s brilliant generals have identified all the critical nuclear research facilities, which their surgical air strikes will eliminate without horrific collateral damage to the surrounding population. Once the alleged ‘nuclear weapons’ program is destroyed, all Israelis can resume their lives in full security knowing that another ‘existential’ threat has been eliminated. The Israeli notion of a war, limited in ‘time and space’, is absurd and dangerous – and underlines the arrogance, stupidity and racism of its authors.
To approach Iran ’s nuclear facilities Israeli and US forces will confront well-equipped and defended bases, missile installations, maritime defenses and large-scale fortifications directed by the Revolutionary Guards and the Iranian Armed Forces. Moreover, the defense systems protecting the nuclear facilities are linked by civilian highways, airfields, ports, and backed by a dual purpose (civilian-military) infrastructure, which includes oil refineries and a huge network of administrative offices. To ‘knock out’ the alleged nuclear sites will require expanding the geographic scope of the war. The scientific-technological capacity of the Iranian civilian nuclear program involves a wide swath of its research facilities, including universities, laboratories, manufacturing sites, and design centers. To destroy Iran ’s civilian nuclear program would require Israel (and thus the US ) to attack much more than research facilities or laboratories hidden under a remote mountain. It would require multiple, widespread assaults on targets throughout the country, in other words, a generalized war.
Iran ’s Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has stated that Iran will retaliate with a war of equivalence. Iran will match the breadth and scope of any attack with a corresponding counter-attack: ‘We will attack them at the same level as they attack us’. That means Iran will not confine its retaliation to merely trying to shoot down US and Israeli bombers in its airspace or launch missiles at offshore US warships in its waters but will take the war to equivalent targets in Israel and in US-occupied countries in and around the Gulf. Israel ’s ‘limited war’ will become a generalized war extending throughout the Middle East and beyond.
Israel ’s current delusional fetish about its elaborate missile defense system will be exposed as hundreds of high-powered missiles are launched from Teheran, Southern Lebanon and just beyond the Golan Heights .
The Myth of Limited War: Time Frame
Israeli military experts confidently expect to polish off their Iranian targets in a few days – some might think a mere weekend - and perhaps without the loss of even a single pilot. They expect the Jewish state will celebrate its brilliant victory in the streets of Tel Aviv and Washington. They are deluded by their own sense of superiority. Iran did not fight a brutal, decade-long war against the US-supplied Iraqi invaders and its western/Israeli military advisers, to just turn over and passively submit to a limited number of air and missile attacks by Israel . Iran is a young, educated mobilized society, which can draw on millions of reservists from across the political, ethnic, gender, religious spectrum, galvanized in support of their nation under attack. In a war to defend the homeland all internal differences disappear to confront the unprovoked Israeli-US attack threatening their entire civilization – its 5000-year culture and traditions, as well as its modern scientific advances and institutions. The first wave of US-Israeli attacks will lead to ferocious retaliation, which will not be confined to the original areas of conflict, nor will any such act of Israeli aggression end when and if Iran ’s nuclear research facilities are destroyed and some of its scientists, technicians and skilled workers are killed. The war will continue in time and extend geographically.
Multiple Points of Conflict
Just as any US-Israeli attack on Iran will involve multiple targets, the Iranian military will also have a plethora of easily accessible strategic targets. Though it is difficult to predict exactly where and how Iran will retaliate, one thing is clear: The initial US-Israeli strike will not go unanswered.
Given Israeli-US supremacy in long and medium range sea and air power, Iran will probably rely on short-range objectives. These would include the highly valued US military facilities and supply routes in adjoining terrain (Iraq, Kuwait and Afghanistan) and Israeli targets with missiles launched from Southern Lebanon and possibly Syria. If a few Iranian long-range missiles escape the Jewish State’s much vaunted ‘anti-missile dome’, Israeli population centers may pay a heavy price for their leaders’ recklessness and arrogance.
The Iranian counter-strike will lead to an escalation by US-Israeli forces, extending and deepening their air and sea war to the entire Iranian national security system – military bases, ports, communication systems, command posts and government administrative centers – many in densely populated cities. Iran will counter by launching its greatest strategic asset: a coordinated ground attack involving the Revolutionary Guards together with their allies among the Iraqi Shia troops, against US forces in Iraq . It will coordinate attacks against US facilities in Afghanistan and Pakistan with the growing nationalist-Islamic armed resistance.
The initial conflict, centered on so-called military objectives (scientific research facilities), will spread rapidly to economic targets, or what US and Israeli military strategists refer to as “dual civilian-military” targets. This would include oil fields, highways, factories, communications networks, television stations, water treatment facilities, reservoirs, power stations and administrative offices, such as the Defense Ministry and headquarters of the Republican Guard. Iran, faced with imminent destruction of its entire economy and infrastructure (which occurred in neighboring Iraq with the unprovoked US invasion of 2003), would retaliate by blocking the Straits of Hormuz and sending short range missiles in the direction of the principle oil fields and refineries of the Gulf States including Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, a mere 10 minute distance, crippling the flow of oil to Europe, Asia and the United States and plunging the world economy into deep depression.
It should not be forgotten that the Iranians are probably more aware than anyone in the region of the total devastation suffered by Iraqis after the US invasion, which plunged that nation into total chaos and devastated its advanced infrastructure and civilian administrative apparatus, not to mention the systematic obliteration of its highly educated scientific and technical elite. The waves of Mossad-sponsored assassinations of Iranian scientists, academics and engineers are just a foretaste of what the Israelis have in mind for Iran ’s outstanding scientists, intellectuals and highly skilled technical workers. Iranians should have no illusions about the Americans and Israelis who seek to thrust Iran into the brutal dark ages of Afghanistan and Iraq . They will have no more role in a devastated Iran than their counterparts had in post-Saddam Iraq .
According to US General Mathis, who commands all US forces in the Middle East, Persian Gulf and Southwest Asia, ‘an Israeli first strike would be likely to have dire consequences across the region and for the United States there’ (NY Times, 3/19/12). General Mathis “dire cost” estimate only takes account of the US military losses, likely several hundred sailors on warships within missile distance of Iranian gunners.
However the most delusional and self-serving assessment of the outcome and consequences of an Israeli air attack on Iran, emanates from top Israeli leaders, academics and intelligence experts, who claim superior intelligence, superior defenses and supreme (if also racist) insight into the ‘Iranian mind’. Typical is Israeli Defense Minister Barak who boasts that any Iranian retaliation will at worst inflict minimal casualties on the Israeli population.
The ‘Judeo-centric’ view of re-ordering the balance of power in the region, which is prevalent in leading Israeli war circles, overlooks the likelihood that war will not be decided by Israeli air strikes and anti-missile defenses. Iran ’s missiles cannot be easily contained, especially if they arrive several hundred a minute from three directions, Iran , Lebanon , Syria and possibly from Iranian submarines. Secondly, the collapse of its oil imports will devastate Israel ’s highly energy dependent economy. Thirdly, Israel ’s principle allies, especially the US and the EU, will be severely strained as they are dragged into Israel ’s war and find themselves defending the straits of Hormuz, their army garrisons in Iraq and Afghanistan , and their oil fields and military bases in the Gulf. Such a conflict could ignite the Shia majorities in Bahrain and in the strategic oil-rich provinces of Saudi Arabia . The generalized war will have a devastating effect on the price of oil and the world economy. It will provoke the fury of consumers and workers rage everywhere as factories close and powerful shocks throughout the fragile financial system result in a world depression.
Israel ’s pathological ‘superiority complex’ results in its racist leaders consistently overestimating their own intellectual, technical and military capabilities, while underestimating the knowledge, capacity and courage of their regional, Islamic (in this case Iranian) adversaries. They ignore Iran ’s proven capacity to sustain a prolonged, complex multi-front defensive war and to recover from an initial assault and develop appropriate modern weaponry to inflict severe damage on its attackers. And Iran will have the unconditional and active support of the world’s Muslim population, and perhaps the diplomatic backing of Russia and China , who will obviously view an attack on Iran as another dress rehearsal to contain their growing power.
Conclusion
War, especially an Israeli-US war against Iran is indissolubly linked to the asymmetrical US-Israeli relationship, which sidelines and censors any critical US military and political analysis. Because Israel’s Zionist power configuration in the US can now harness US military power in support of Israel’s drive for regional dominance, Israeli leaders and most of their military feel free to engage in the most outrageous military and destructive adventures, knowing full well that in the first and last instance they can rely on the US to support them with American blood and treasure. But after all of this grotesque servitude to a racist ,isolated country, who will rescue the United States ? Who will prevent the sinking of its ships in the Gulf and the death and maiming of hundreds of its sailors and thousands of its soldiers? And where will the Israelis and US Zionists be when Iraq is overrun by elite Iranian troops and their Iraqi Shia allies and a generalized uprising occurs in Afghanistan ?
The self-centered Israeli policy-makers overlook the likely collapse of the world oil supply as a result of their planned war against Iran. Do their Zionist agents in the US realize that as a result of dragging the US into Israel ’s war, that the Iranian nation will be forced to set the Persian Gulf oilfields ablaze?
How cheap has it become to ‘buy a war’ in the US ? For a mere few million dollars in campaign contributions to corrupt politicians, and through the deliberate penetration of Israel-First agents, academics and politicians into the war-making machinery of the US government, and through the moral cowardice and self-censorship of leading critics, writers and journalists who refuse to name Israel and its agents as the key decision makers in our country’s Mid East policy, we head directly toward a war far beyond any regional military conflagration and toward the collapse of the world economy and the brutal impoverishment of hundreds of millions of people North and South, East and West.
By Prof. James Petras
Introduction
The mounting threat of a US-Israeli military attack against Iran is based on several factors including: (1) the recent military history of both countries in the region, (2) public pronouncements by US and Israeli political leaders, (3) recent and on-going attacks on Lebanon and Syria, prominent allies of Iran, (4) armed attacks and assassinations of Iranian scientists and security officials by proxy and/or terrorist groups under US or Mossad control, (5) the failure of economic sanctions and diplomatic coercion, (6) escalating hysteria and extreme demands for Iran to end legal, civilian use-related uranium enrichment, (7) provocative military ‘exercises’ on Iran’s borders and war games designed for intimidation and a dress rehearsal for a preemptive attack, (8) powerful pro-war pressure groups in both Washington and Tel Aviv including the major Israeli political parties and the powerful AIPAC in the US, (9) and lastly the 2012 National Defense Authorization Act (Obama’s Orwellian Emergency Decree, March 16, 2012).
The US propaganda war operates along two tracks: (1) the dominant message emphasizes the proximity of war and the willingness of the US to use force and violence. This message is directed at Iran and coincides with Israeli announcements of war preparations. (2) The second track targets the ‘liberal public’ with a handful of marginal ‘knowledgeable academics’ (or State Department progressives) playing down the war threat and arguing that reasonable policy makers in Tel Aviv and Washington are aware that Iran does not possess nuclear weapons or any capacity to produce them now or in the near future. The purpose of this liberal backpedaling is to confuse and undermine the majority public opinion, which is clearly opposed to more war preparations, and to derail the burgeoning anti-war movement.
Needless to say the pronouncements of the ‘rational’ warmongers use a ‘double discourse’ based on the facile dismissal of all the historical and empirical evidence to the contrary. When the US and Israel talk of war, prepare for war and engage in pre-war provocations – they intend to go to war – just as they did against Iraq in 2003. Under present international political and military conditions an attack on Iran , initially by Israel with US support, is extremely likely, even as world economic conditions should dictate otherwise and even as the negative strategic consequences will most likely reverberate throughout the world for decades to come.
US and Israeli Military Calculations on Iran’s Capability
American and Israeli strategic policy makers do not agree on the consequences of Iran ’s retaliation against an attack. For their part, the Israeli leaders minimize Iran ’s military capacity to attack and damage the Jewish state, which is their only consideration. They count on their distance, their anti-missile shield and protection from US air and naval forces in the Gulf to cover their sneak attack. On the other hand, US military strategists know the Iranians are capable of inflicting substantial casualties on US warships, which would have to attack Iranian coastal installations in order to support or protect the Israelis.
Israel intelligence is best known for its capacity to organize the assassination of individuals around the world: Mossad has organized successful overseas terrorists acts against Palestinian, Syrian, and Lebanese leaders. On the other hand Israeli intelligence has a very poor track record with regard to its estimates of major military and political undertakings. They seriously underestimated the popular support, military strength and organizational capacity of Hezbollah during the 2006 war in Lebanon . Likewise, Israel intelligence misunderstood the strength and capacity of the Egyptian popular democratic movement as it rose up and overthrew Tel Aviv’s strategic regional ally, the Mubarak dictatorship. While Israeli leaders ‘feign paranoia’ – tossing clichés about ‘existential threats’– they are blinded by their narcissistic arrogance and racism, repeatedly underestimating the technical expertise and political sophistication of their Arab and regional Islamic foes. This is undoubtedly true in their facile dismissal of Iran ’s capacity to retaliate against a planned Israeli air assault.
The US government has now overtly committed itself to supporting an Israeli assault on Iran when it is launched. More specifically, Washington claims it will come to Israel ’s defense ‘unconditionally’ if it is “attacked”. How can Israel avoid being ‘attacked’ when its planes are raining bombs and missiles on Iranian installations, military defenses and support systems, not to mention Iranian cities, ports and strategic infrastructure? Moreover, given the Pentagon’s collaboration and coordinated intelligence systems with the Israel Defense Forces, its role in identifying targets, routes and incoming missiles, as well as integrated weapons and ordinance supply chains will be critical to an IDF attack. There is no way that the US can dissociate itself from the Jewish State’s war on Iran , once the attack has begun.
The Myths of ‘Limited War’: Geography
Washington and Tel Aviv claim and appear to believe that their planned assault on Iran will be a “limited war”, targeting limited objectives and lasting a few days or weeks – with no serious consequences.
We are told Israel ’s brilliant generals have identified all the critical nuclear research facilities, which their surgical air strikes will eliminate without horrific collateral damage to the surrounding population. Once the alleged ‘nuclear weapons’ program is destroyed, all Israelis can resume their lives in full security knowing that another ‘existential’ threat has been eliminated. The Israeli notion of a war, limited in ‘time and space’, is absurd and dangerous – and underlines the arrogance, stupidity and racism of its authors.
To approach Iran ’s nuclear facilities Israeli and US forces will confront well-equipped and defended bases, missile installations, maritime defenses and large-scale fortifications directed by the Revolutionary Guards and the Iranian Armed Forces. Moreover, the defense systems protecting the nuclear facilities are linked by civilian highways, airfields, ports, and backed by a dual purpose (civilian-military) infrastructure, which includes oil refineries and a huge network of administrative offices. To ‘knock out’ the alleged nuclear sites will require expanding the geographic scope of the war. The scientific-technological capacity of the Iranian civilian nuclear program involves a wide swath of its research facilities, including universities, laboratories, manufacturing sites, and design centers. To destroy Iran ’s civilian nuclear program would require Israel (and thus the US ) to attack much more than research facilities or laboratories hidden under a remote mountain. It would require multiple, widespread assaults on targets throughout the country, in other words, a generalized war.
Iran ’s Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has stated that Iran will retaliate with a war of equivalence. Iran will match the breadth and scope of any attack with a corresponding counter-attack: ‘We will attack them at the same level as they attack us’. That means Iran will not confine its retaliation to merely trying to shoot down US and Israeli bombers in its airspace or launch missiles at offshore US warships in its waters but will take the war to equivalent targets in Israel and in US-occupied countries in and around the Gulf. Israel ’s ‘limited war’ will become a generalized war extending throughout the Middle East and beyond.
Israel ’s current delusional fetish about its elaborate missile defense system will be exposed as hundreds of high-powered missiles are launched from Teheran, Southern Lebanon and just beyond the Golan Heights .
The Myth of Limited War: Time Frame
Israeli military experts confidently expect to polish off their Iranian targets in a few days – some might think a mere weekend - and perhaps without the loss of even a single pilot. They expect the Jewish state will celebrate its brilliant victory in the streets of Tel Aviv and Washington. They are deluded by their own sense of superiority. Iran did not fight a brutal, decade-long war against the US-supplied Iraqi invaders and its western/Israeli military advisers, to just turn over and passively submit to a limited number of air and missile attacks by Israel . Iran is a young, educated mobilized society, which can draw on millions of reservists from across the political, ethnic, gender, religious spectrum, galvanized in support of their nation under attack. In a war to defend the homeland all internal differences disappear to confront the unprovoked Israeli-US attack threatening their entire civilization – its 5000-year culture and traditions, as well as its modern scientific advances and institutions. The first wave of US-Israeli attacks will lead to ferocious retaliation, which will not be confined to the original areas of conflict, nor will any such act of Israeli aggression end when and if Iran ’s nuclear research facilities are destroyed and some of its scientists, technicians and skilled workers are killed. The war will continue in time and extend geographically.
Multiple Points of Conflict
Just as any US-Israeli attack on Iran will involve multiple targets, the Iranian military will also have a plethora of easily accessible strategic targets. Though it is difficult to predict exactly where and how Iran will retaliate, one thing is clear: The initial US-Israeli strike will not go unanswered.
Given Israeli-US supremacy in long and medium range sea and air power, Iran will probably rely on short-range objectives. These would include the highly valued US military facilities and supply routes in adjoining terrain (Iraq, Kuwait and Afghanistan) and Israeli targets with missiles launched from Southern Lebanon and possibly Syria. If a few Iranian long-range missiles escape the Jewish State’s much vaunted ‘anti-missile dome’, Israeli population centers may pay a heavy price for their leaders’ recklessness and arrogance.
The Iranian counter-strike will lead to an escalation by US-Israeli forces, extending and deepening their air and sea war to the entire Iranian national security system – military bases, ports, communication systems, command posts and government administrative centers – many in densely populated cities. Iran will counter by launching its greatest strategic asset: a coordinated ground attack involving the Revolutionary Guards together with their allies among the Iraqi Shia troops, against US forces in Iraq . It will coordinate attacks against US facilities in Afghanistan and Pakistan with the growing nationalist-Islamic armed resistance.
The initial conflict, centered on so-called military objectives (scientific research facilities), will spread rapidly to economic targets, or what US and Israeli military strategists refer to as “dual civilian-military” targets. This would include oil fields, highways, factories, communications networks, television stations, water treatment facilities, reservoirs, power stations and administrative offices, such as the Defense Ministry and headquarters of the Republican Guard. Iran, faced with imminent destruction of its entire economy and infrastructure (which occurred in neighboring Iraq with the unprovoked US invasion of 2003), would retaliate by blocking the Straits of Hormuz and sending short range missiles in the direction of the principle oil fields and refineries of the Gulf States including Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, a mere 10 minute distance, crippling the flow of oil to Europe, Asia and the United States and plunging the world economy into deep depression.
It should not be forgotten that the Iranians are probably more aware than anyone in the region of the total devastation suffered by Iraqis after the US invasion, which plunged that nation into total chaos and devastated its advanced infrastructure and civilian administrative apparatus, not to mention the systematic obliteration of its highly educated scientific and technical elite. The waves of Mossad-sponsored assassinations of Iranian scientists, academics and engineers are just a foretaste of what the Israelis have in mind for Iran ’s outstanding scientists, intellectuals and highly skilled technical workers. Iranians should have no illusions about the Americans and Israelis who seek to thrust Iran into the brutal dark ages of Afghanistan and Iraq . They will have no more role in a devastated Iran than their counterparts had in post-Saddam Iraq .
According to US General Mathis, who commands all US forces in the Middle East, Persian Gulf and Southwest Asia, ‘an Israeli first strike would be likely to have dire consequences across the region and for the United States there’ (NY Times, 3/19/12). General Mathis “dire cost” estimate only takes account of the US military losses, likely several hundred sailors on warships within missile distance of Iranian gunners.
However the most delusional and self-serving assessment of the outcome and consequences of an Israeli air attack on Iran, emanates from top Israeli leaders, academics and intelligence experts, who claim superior intelligence, superior defenses and supreme (if also racist) insight into the ‘Iranian mind’. Typical is Israeli Defense Minister Barak who boasts that any Iranian retaliation will at worst inflict minimal casualties on the Israeli population.
The ‘Judeo-centric’ view of re-ordering the balance of power in the region, which is prevalent in leading Israeli war circles, overlooks the likelihood that war will not be decided by Israeli air strikes and anti-missile defenses. Iran ’s missiles cannot be easily contained, especially if they arrive several hundred a minute from three directions, Iran , Lebanon , Syria and possibly from Iranian submarines. Secondly, the collapse of its oil imports will devastate Israel ’s highly energy dependent economy. Thirdly, Israel ’s principle allies, especially the US and the EU, will be severely strained as they are dragged into Israel ’s war and find themselves defending the straits of Hormuz, their army garrisons in Iraq and Afghanistan , and their oil fields and military bases in the Gulf. Such a conflict could ignite the Shia majorities in Bahrain and in the strategic oil-rich provinces of Saudi Arabia . The generalized war will have a devastating effect on the price of oil and the world economy. It will provoke the fury of consumers and workers rage everywhere as factories close and powerful shocks throughout the fragile financial system result in a world depression.
Israel ’s pathological ‘superiority complex’ results in its racist leaders consistently overestimating their own intellectual, technical and military capabilities, while underestimating the knowledge, capacity and courage of their regional, Islamic (in this case Iranian) adversaries. They ignore Iran ’s proven capacity to sustain a prolonged, complex multi-front defensive war and to recover from an initial assault and develop appropriate modern weaponry to inflict severe damage on its attackers. And Iran will have the unconditional and active support of the world’s Muslim population, and perhaps the diplomatic backing of Russia and China , who will obviously view an attack on Iran as another dress rehearsal to contain their growing power.
Conclusion
War, especially an Israeli-US war against Iran is indissolubly linked to the asymmetrical US-Israeli relationship, which sidelines and censors any critical US military and political analysis. Because Israel’s Zionist power configuration in the US can now harness US military power in support of Israel’s drive for regional dominance, Israeli leaders and most of their military feel free to engage in the most outrageous military and destructive adventures, knowing full well that in the first and last instance they can rely on the US to support them with American blood and treasure. But after all of this grotesque servitude to a racist ,isolated country, who will rescue the United States ? Who will prevent the sinking of its ships in the Gulf and the death and maiming of hundreds of its sailors and thousands of its soldiers? And where will the Israelis and US Zionists be when Iraq is overrun by elite Iranian troops and their Iraqi Shia allies and a generalized uprising occurs in Afghanistan ?
The self-centered Israeli policy-makers overlook the likely collapse of the world oil supply as a result of their planned war against Iran. Do their Zionist agents in the US realize that as a result of dragging the US into Israel ’s war, that the Iranian nation will be forced to set the Persian Gulf oilfields ablaze?
How cheap has it become to ‘buy a war’ in the US ? For a mere few million dollars in campaign contributions to corrupt politicians, and through the deliberate penetration of Israel-First agents, academics and politicians into the war-making machinery of the US government, and through the moral cowardice and self-censorship of leading critics, writers and journalists who refuse to name Israel and its agents as the key decision makers in our country’s Mid East policy, we head directly toward a war far beyond any regional military conflagration and toward the collapse of the world economy and the brutal impoverishment of hundreds of millions of people North and South, East and West.
quinta-feira, 22 de março de 2012
ISRAELIS SAY ‘NO’ TO IRAN WAR
20 March 2012, Tikun Olam-תיקון עולם http://www.richardsilverstein.com (USA)
Caption: 'The nation is against war with Iran'
Israelis have begun intensive social networking efforts to promote the notion that their country does not want war with Iran. There will be a mass rally on Friday, March 24th at 7PM in HaBima Square in Tel Aviv. There is also a Facebook event page, Israelis Against War with Iran. It has 764 Going currently. I wish it had more, much more. There is a Facebook group, Israelis Against the War, with 2,800 Likes. This is the statement that accompanies it:
It appears that as far as PM Netanyahu is concerned, everything’s prepared for an attack on Iran. Except for us – we’re neither prepared nor willing.
We will not agree to an irresponsible Israeli attack in Iran, leading to a war with an unknown end-date and casualty count. Polls show most of the Israeli public opposes the attack being planned by Netanyahu. Even the leading brass of the Israeli security establishment, past and present, opposes such an attack. U.S. intelligence agencies assert that Iran is not on the path attributed to it by Netanyahu (an assertion supported by the Mossad). Netanyahu, however, possibly fearing another “social summer”, appears eager to launch a war which might even give a boost to his election campaign.
Hardly anyone was surprised this week by the reports that Israel is not equipped to protect its citizens from missiles targeted at the cities. It is also not surprising that those least protected are the weaker populations of the Israeli periphery. This is exactly how much our leaders value us, when they don’t hesitate to take us on an unnecessary war that will inflame the region, supposedly for our protection. Not to worry – they’ll be safe and sound in their bunkers. The billions that this war will cost will be paid by us – in health, education, housing – and in blood.
But this week, we saw something amazing. The internet allowed us to convey messages to citizens on the other side and receive messages back from them. Messages of peace, solidarity and hope.
This exciting and refreshing dialogue leads to one clear conclusion:
We, the citizens of Israel and Iran, are not enemies. Our leaders are inciting a disastrous war – and we’re all trying to prevent it. Instead of being dragged into a regional war – we demand a solution of peace among all the region’s peoples.
This coming Saturday, March 24th, we will meet at 19:00 (7 PM) at HaBima Square in Tel Aviv – where the summer’s protests began – and march from there to Gan Meir. Together we will spell out for Netanyahu and the world: You have no mandate to take us to war with Iran.
Feel free to prepare signs such as:
“Iranians we love you”
“The people oppose war in Iran” or any other idea you might have.
There is also a blog, Israel Loves Iran, created by Israeli graphic designer Ronny Edry, which appears to be getting so much traffic it’s serving pages quite slowly. But that’s a good thing. It goes without saying the initiative has been covered by Haaretz. But it’s even reached CNN, another good sign. I hope you’ll do your part to help trend #israelovesiran on Twitter and promote it on any other social media platforms you frequent. We’ve got to stop this damn war. If the Occupy movement and Israel’s J14 Social Justice movement could move mountains, can’t we stop the F-16s?
There is one Israeli message to Iran I do not endorse. Thamar Gindin, an Israeli-Iranian who is making a powerful effort to promote peace between the two peoples, is featuring this message written by settler Rabbi Avraham Gisser of Ofra (considered a moderate figure in his community), who commends the Iranian people on Nowruz, the Iranian New Year. Here are excerpts from his statement. Reading it carefully will elicit the prejudices inherent in it:
Religious wholeness and pure belief are the lot of the free only. Enslavement and coercion are the opposite of the human spirit, and what are religious belief and observing the commandments worth if the human spirit is oppressed and humiliated?
The Jewish people are not the enemy of the honorable Iranian nation. The Iranian nation has a glorious tradition of respect for human values and struggle for freedom and equality. The common mission of the two nations is to continue striving for equality, peace, and respect for every person – man and woman, young and old. Women’s freedom is their honor. A woman’s freedom is the distinct sign of a society that chooses life and joy in life. The common enemy of both nations is any government or movement that enslaves the human spirit and humiliates the women, the weak and the different in the name of religion or in the name of any other fake ideology.
It’s more than obvious that Gisser seeks, like most pro-Israel figures trying to demonize Iran even unintentionally, to differentiate between the Iranian people and its government. The people are good. The Ayatollahs are bad. They are the “enslavers” and represent a “fake ideology.” Note there is absolutely no criticism offered of Israeli leaders or government. I ask you? Is this the sort of “conciliatory” message we need in the current environment? Compare this statement to the one from Ayatollah Boroujerdi, which Tamar publicized last Rosh HaShana, which was a truly loving, non-judgmental and inspirational one.
Israelis have begun intensive social networking efforts to promote the notion that their country does not want war with Iran. There will be a mass rally on Friday, March 24th at 7PM in HaBima Square in Tel Aviv. There is also a Facebook event page, Israelis Against War with Iran. It has 764 Going currently. I wish it had more, much more. There is a Facebook group, Israelis Against the War, with 2,800 Likes. This is the statement that accompanies it:
It appears that as far as PM Netanyahu is concerned, everything’s prepared for an attack on Iran. Except for us – we’re neither prepared nor willing.
We will not agree to an irresponsible Israeli attack in Iran, leading to a war with an unknown end-date and casualty count. Polls show most of the Israeli public opposes the attack being planned by Netanyahu. Even the leading brass of the Israeli security establishment, past and present, opposes such an attack. U.S. intelligence agencies assert that Iran is not on the path attributed to it by Netanyahu (an assertion supported by the Mossad). Netanyahu, however, possibly fearing another “social summer”, appears eager to launch a war which might even give a boost to his election campaign.
Hardly anyone was surprised this week by the reports that Israel is not equipped to protect its citizens from missiles targeted at the cities. It is also not surprising that those least protected are the weaker populations of the Israeli periphery. This is exactly how much our leaders value us, when they don’t hesitate to take us on an unnecessary war that will inflame the region, supposedly for our protection. Not to worry – they’ll be safe and sound in their bunkers. The billions that this war will cost will be paid by us – in health, education, housing – and in blood.
But this week, we saw something amazing. The internet allowed us to convey messages to citizens on the other side and receive messages back from them. Messages of peace, solidarity and hope.
This exciting and refreshing dialogue leads to one clear conclusion:
We, the citizens of Israel and Iran, are not enemies. Our leaders are inciting a disastrous war – and we’re all trying to prevent it. Instead of being dragged into a regional war – we demand a solution of peace among all the region’s peoples.
This coming Saturday, March 24th, we will meet at 19:00 (7 PM) at HaBima Square in Tel Aviv – where the summer’s protests began – and march from there to Gan Meir. Together we will spell out for Netanyahu and the world: You have no mandate to take us to war with Iran.
Feel free to prepare signs such as:
“Iranians we love you”
“The people oppose war in Iran” or any other idea you might have.
There is also a blog, Israel Loves Iran, created by Israeli graphic designer Ronny Edry, which appears to be getting so much traffic it’s serving pages quite slowly. But that’s a good thing. It goes without saying the initiative has been covered by Haaretz. But it’s even reached CNN, another good sign. I hope you’ll do your part to help trend #israelovesiran on Twitter and promote it on any other social media platforms you frequent. We’ve got to stop this damn war. If the Occupy movement and Israel’s J14 Social Justice movement could move mountains, can’t we stop the F-16s?
There is one Israeli message to Iran I do not endorse. Thamar Gindin, an Israeli-Iranian who is making a powerful effort to promote peace between the two peoples, is featuring this message written by settler Rabbi Avraham Gisser of Ofra (considered a moderate figure in his community), who commends the Iranian people on Nowruz, the Iranian New Year. Here are excerpts from his statement. Reading it carefully will elicit the prejudices inherent in it:
Religious wholeness and pure belief are the lot of the free only. Enslavement and coercion are the opposite of the human spirit, and what are religious belief and observing the commandments worth if the human spirit is oppressed and humiliated?
The Jewish people are not the enemy of the honorable Iranian nation. The Iranian nation has a glorious tradition of respect for human values and struggle for freedom and equality. The common mission of the two nations is to continue striving for equality, peace, and respect for every person – man and woman, young and old. Women’s freedom is their honor. A woman’s freedom is the distinct sign of a society that chooses life and joy in life. The common enemy of both nations is any government or movement that enslaves the human spirit and humiliates the women, the weak and the different in the name of religion or in the name of any other fake ideology.
It’s more than obvious that Gisser seeks, like most pro-Israel figures trying to demonize Iran even unintentionally, to differentiate between the Iranian people and its government. The people are good. The Ayatollahs are bad. They are the “enslavers” and represent a “fake ideology.” Note there is absolutely no criticism offered of Israeli leaders or government. I ask you? Is this the sort of “conciliatory” message we need in the current environment? Compare this statement to the one from Ayatollah Boroujerdi, which Tamar publicized last Rosh HaShana, which was a truly loving, non-judgmental and inspirational one.
terça-feira, 13 de março de 2012
SUPREME LEADER’S SPEECH TO NUCLEAR SCIENTISTS
22 February 2012, Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei http://www.khamenei.ir (Iran)
The following is the full text of the speech delivered on February 22, 2012 by Ayatollah Khamenei the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution in a meeting with Iranian nuclear scientists in Tehran.
In the Name of Allah, the Beneficent, the Merciful
I am very happy to meet you dear people, the valuable brothers and sisters who are active in an arena of historic significance which is a source of national pride. We have said a lot of good things about you behind your backs and we truly respect you. And today is an opportunity to express our respect face to face. I am thankful to God. Of course, these are blessings from God. All these blessings are from the Creator. "And whatever favor is (bestowed) on you it is from Allah." [The Holy Quran, 16: 53] It is a divine blessing to have competent, intelligent, scholarly, innovative and motivated manpower. It is a blessing from God. I am grateful to you and I am also thankful to Allah the Exalted for blessing this nation and this system with your existence.
One point is that everybody who is rendering services in a particular area should be well aware of the value of his services. If he appreciates the value of his services, he will continue his work in the best possible way. But if he fails to do so, he will naturally abandon his duty. If a person who is guarding a particular place fails to appreciate the value of his work, he will naturally let down his guard and fall asleep. Therefore, the first point is that we should be aware of the significance of the work we are doing.
Now I would like to say a few things in this regard. There are many different aspects to your work. One aspect of your work is that it instilled a sense of national dignity into this nation and this country, which is very important. Nations face serious trouble only when they lose their dignity, when they serve foreigners for free and forget their own value. This shows the importance of dignity. An oppressed nation - such as the nations in North Africa and other places - rises up only when it feels its dignity has been trampled upon. Then it rises up and no power can stand in the way of such a nation. This has already happened. This shows the importance of dignity. The Revolution instilled a sense of dignity into our nation and our country. They tried to discourage our nation on many occasions. They tried to convince our people that they were incompetent. "Yes, you carried out a revolution, but you cannot run the country by yourselves. You cannot make progress. You cannot keep up with the world." Every scientific advance is a testimony to the competence of our nation. And your work in nuclear technology instilled a sense of dignity into this nation. This is one dimension of the significance of your work.
The value of such things cannot be measured with materialistic calculations. Of course, all these things are being measured with money in the materialistic world. All human values are finally reduced to money. And this is the affliction of the materialistic world and it will definitely bring materialistic people down. The truth is that there are certain things whose value cannot be measured with money. One may light-heartedly mention money just to make a comparison. I remember I had travelled to one of our provinces. One of the meetings that had been arranged was a meeting with our academics. It was a very enthusiastic meeting. One of the learned professors - whom I knew from before - delivered a speech at the meeting. A few people spoke at the meeting and this learned man was among them. In order to attract the attention of government officials and myself to the problems of the province, he mentioned the capacities that the province enjoyed. For example, he said that certain projects in the province were worth billions and that there was room for such and such investments. I told him that the things he mentioned were materialistic and that he himself was worth several billions more. A learned professor living in a city, in the capital city of a province - can this be compared with the materialistic advantages that the province enjoys? This is the value of ideas and outstanding personalities. You should know that the work you are doing is important.
Of course, as I said, your work has many different aspects. In their propaganda, they have been trying to say that the work on nuclear energy is ideologically motivated - that it has nothing to do with our national interests. This is while your work is directly related to our national interests. The work on nuclear energy is directly related to our national interests. The report that was presented by Dr. Abbasi explained certain aspects of the relationship between nuclear energy and our national interests. The work on nuclear energy is for the sake of the nation, the country and the future.
The arrogant powers of the world - which consider ruling the world as their right - refer to themselves as the global community. This is while they are not the global community. The global community consists of the people and their governments. There are a few countries that refer to themselves as the global community and they issue orders, speak, dismiss and demand on behalf of the global community. These countries have built their global hegemony on their monopoly on science and technology. Some of the uproar that they cause is because they do not want this monopoly to be broken. If the people manage to make progress in nuclear technology, in aerospace, in electronic areas and in different industrial, technological and scientific areas, there will no longer remain a way for them to maintain their bullying and coercive hegemony.
One of the biggest crimes that has been committed against humanity is that over the past two, three centuries - after the Industrial Revolution - knowledge has turned into a means for bullying. The English, who were among the pioneers of the Industrial Revolution, used their knowledge to shackle other nations around the world. Do you know what happened during the reign of the English in the vast and rich Indian subcontinent? And the events were not just limited to the Indian subcontinent. The whole of East Asia was under their boots for more than a century and they dominated the people of East Asia by using their knowledge as a tool. The people felt frustrated. Many people were killed. Many wishes were dashed. Many nations fell behind. Many countries were destroyed. This was how they used their knowledge. This is the biggest treachery to knowledge, just as it is the biggest treachery to humanity. They do not want this monopoly to be broken. Any nation that manages to stand on its own feet independently - and not with their permission and approval and under their yoke - will contribute to undermining this monopoly. Fortunately, this work has already started in Iran.
You should pursue this important field and this essential and great work in an absolutely serious way. Rely on Allah, and Allah the Exalted will help you. There are human and natural capacities. Fortunately, today there are political capacities as well. Sometimes there might be human and natural capacities, but political capacities might be lacking in a country: the hegemony of the enemy does not let such a country breathe and utilize its human and natural capacities. The Revolution took place and created these political capacities. You can - and you must - move forward.
The purpose of the uproar they cause is to stop us. They know that we are not after nuclear weapons. They already know this. I do not have any doubts that in the countries that are opposed to us, the organizations in charge of decision-making are fully aware that we are not after nuclear weapons. Nuclear weapons are not at all beneficial to us. Moreover, from an ideological and fiqhi perspective, we consider developing nuclear weapons as unlawful. We consider using such weapons as a big sin. We also believe that keeping such weapons is futile and dangerous, and we will never go after them. They know this, but they stress the issue in order to stop our movement.
We want to prove to the world that nuclear weapons do not bring about power. This is because the nuclear powers are suffering from the biggest problems today. They dominated the world through nuclear threats, but today such threats are no longer effective. We want to say that we are not after nuclear weapons, that we do not believe nuclear weapons bring about power and that we can break the kind of power that is based on nuclear weapons. By Allah's favor, our nation will do this.
Of course, you know that the pressure they exert on us - the pressure of sanctions, threats, assassinations and other such things - is a sign of their weakness. It shows that whatever they do will only strengthen our nation. Their actions will only convince our people that they have chosen the right goal and that their movement is continuing in an appropriate way. As a result, the enemy has been infuriated.
This movement is not just a nuclear movement. Today their pretext is the nuclear issue. They use the nuclear pretext to impose sanctions on us. How long is it since the nuclear issue was first brought up? The sanctions have been there for thirty years. Why were they imposing sanctions on us when the nuclear issue did not exist? It is just a matter of fighting a nation that has decided to become independent, a nation that has decided to resist oppression, a nation that has decided to expose oppression, a nation that has decided to stand up against oppressors and oppression, a nation that is determined to convey this message to the entire world. We have tried to convey this message and by Allah's favor, we will try even harder in the future. Sanctions, political pressure and other such things will not be effective. When a nation decides to stand firm, when a nation believes in divine assistance and its domestic power and capacities, nothing can stand in its way.
This is my advice: strengthen your resolve. Increase the motivation to continue this path in your organization and among the people who have taken on this important responsibility. Your work is significant. Your work is important and by Allah's favor, it will determine the future of this country. The issue is not that we will be able to use the nuclear industry to promote our national interests. The issue is that this movement strengthens the resolve of our youth, our scientists and our people, and it makes them steadfast on their path. This is an important point. Keeping our people steadfast and motivated is more important than the direct rewards of the nuclear industry. You are active in this arena and God willing, Allah the Exalted will help you.
We will pray for you. We will definitely help and support you whenever necessary. We believe that by Allah's favor, you will move forward and remove the obstacles from your path one after the other. By Allah's favor, your future will be far better than your present.
Greetings be upon you and Allah's mercy and blessings
The following is the full text of the speech delivered on February 22, 2012 by Ayatollah Khamenei the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution in a meeting with Iranian nuclear scientists in Tehran.
In the Name of Allah, the Beneficent, the Merciful
I am very happy to meet you dear people, the valuable brothers and sisters who are active in an arena of historic significance which is a source of national pride. We have said a lot of good things about you behind your backs and we truly respect you. And today is an opportunity to express our respect face to face. I am thankful to God. Of course, these are blessings from God. All these blessings are from the Creator. "And whatever favor is (bestowed) on you it is from Allah." [The Holy Quran, 16: 53] It is a divine blessing to have competent, intelligent, scholarly, innovative and motivated manpower. It is a blessing from God. I am grateful to you and I am also thankful to Allah the Exalted for blessing this nation and this system with your existence.
One point is that everybody who is rendering services in a particular area should be well aware of the value of his services. If he appreciates the value of his services, he will continue his work in the best possible way. But if he fails to do so, he will naturally abandon his duty. If a person who is guarding a particular place fails to appreciate the value of his work, he will naturally let down his guard and fall asleep. Therefore, the first point is that we should be aware of the significance of the work we are doing.
Now I would like to say a few things in this regard. There are many different aspects to your work. One aspect of your work is that it instilled a sense of national dignity into this nation and this country, which is very important. Nations face serious trouble only when they lose their dignity, when they serve foreigners for free and forget their own value. This shows the importance of dignity. An oppressed nation - such as the nations in North Africa and other places - rises up only when it feels its dignity has been trampled upon. Then it rises up and no power can stand in the way of such a nation. This has already happened. This shows the importance of dignity. The Revolution instilled a sense of dignity into our nation and our country. They tried to discourage our nation on many occasions. They tried to convince our people that they were incompetent. "Yes, you carried out a revolution, but you cannot run the country by yourselves. You cannot make progress. You cannot keep up with the world." Every scientific advance is a testimony to the competence of our nation. And your work in nuclear technology instilled a sense of dignity into this nation. This is one dimension of the significance of your work.
The value of such things cannot be measured with materialistic calculations. Of course, all these things are being measured with money in the materialistic world. All human values are finally reduced to money. And this is the affliction of the materialistic world and it will definitely bring materialistic people down. The truth is that there are certain things whose value cannot be measured with money. One may light-heartedly mention money just to make a comparison. I remember I had travelled to one of our provinces. One of the meetings that had been arranged was a meeting with our academics. It was a very enthusiastic meeting. One of the learned professors - whom I knew from before - delivered a speech at the meeting. A few people spoke at the meeting and this learned man was among them. In order to attract the attention of government officials and myself to the problems of the province, he mentioned the capacities that the province enjoyed. For example, he said that certain projects in the province were worth billions and that there was room for such and such investments. I told him that the things he mentioned were materialistic and that he himself was worth several billions more. A learned professor living in a city, in the capital city of a province - can this be compared with the materialistic advantages that the province enjoys? This is the value of ideas and outstanding personalities. You should know that the work you are doing is important.
Of course, as I said, your work has many different aspects. In their propaganda, they have been trying to say that the work on nuclear energy is ideologically motivated - that it has nothing to do with our national interests. This is while your work is directly related to our national interests. The work on nuclear energy is directly related to our national interests. The report that was presented by Dr. Abbasi explained certain aspects of the relationship between nuclear energy and our national interests. The work on nuclear energy is for the sake of the nation, the country and the future.
The arrogant powers of the world - which consider ruling the world as their right - refer to themselves as the global community. This is while they are not the global community. The global community consists of the people and their governments. There are a few countries that refer to themselves as the global community and they issue orders, speak, dismiss and demand on behalf of the global community. These countries have built their global hegemony on their monopoly on science and technology. Some of the uproar that they cause is because they do not want this monopoly to be broken. If the people manage to make progress in nuclear technology, in aerospace, in electronic areas and in different industrial, technological and scientific areas, there will no longer remain a way for them to maintain their bullying and coercive hegemony.
One of the biggest crimes that has been committed against humanity is that over the past two, three centuries - after the Industrial Revolution - knowledge has turned into a means for bullying. The English, who were among the pioneers of the Industrial Revolution, used their knowledge to shackle other nations around the world. Do you know what happened during the reign of the English in the vast and rich Indian subcontinent? And the events were not just limited to the Indian subcontinent. The whole of East Asia was under their boots for more than a century and they dominated the people of East Asia by using their knowledge as a tool. The people felt frustrated. Many people were killed. Many wishes were dashed. Many nations fell behind. Many countries were destroyed. This was how they used their knowledge. This is the biggest treachery to knowledge, just as it is the biggest treachery to humanity. They do not want this monopoly to be broken. Any nation that manages to stand on its own feet independently - and not with their permission and approval and under their yoke - will contribute to undermining this monopoly. Fortunately, this work has already started in Iran.
You should pursue this important field and this essential and great work in an absolutely serious way. Rely on Allah, and Allah the Exalted will help you. There are human and natural capacities. Fortunately, today there are political capacities as well. Sometimes there might be human and natural capacities, but political capacities might be lacking in a country: the hegemony of the enemy does not let such a country breathe and utilize its human and natural capacities. The Revolution took place and created these political capacities. You can - and you must - move forward.
The purpose of the uproar they cause is to stop us. They know that we are not after nuclear weapons. They already know this. I do not have any doubts that in the countries that are opposed to us, the organizations in charge of decision-making are fully aware that we are not after nuclear weapons. Nuclear weapons are not at all beneficial to us. Moreover, from an ideological and fiqhi perspective, we consider developing nuclear weapons as unlawful. We consider using such weapons as a big sin. We also believe that keeping such weapons is futile and dangerous, and we will never go after them. They know this, but they stress the issue in order to stop our movement.
We want to prove to the world that nuclear weapons do not bring about power. This is because the nuclear powers are suffering from the biggest problems today. They dominated the world through nuclear threats, but today such threats are no longer effective. We want to say that we are not after nuclear weapons, that we do not believe nuclear weapons bring about power and that we can break the kind of power that is based on nuclear weapons. By Allah's favor, our nation will do this.
Of course, you know that the pressure they exert on us - the pressure of sanctions, threats, assassinations and other such things - is a sign of their weakness. It shows that whatever they do will only strengthen our nation. Their actions will only convince our people that they have chosen the right goal and that their movement is continuing in an appropriate way. As a result, the enemy has been infuriated.
This movement is not just a nuclear movement. Today their pretext is the nuclear issue. They use the nuclear pretext to impose sanctions on us. How long is it since the nuclear issue was first brought up? The sanctions have been there for thirty years. Why were they imposing sanctions on us when the nuclear issue did not exist? It is just a matter of fighting a nation that has decided to become independent, a nation that has decided to resist oppression, a nation that has decided to expose oppression, a nation that has decided to stand up against oppressors and oppression, a nation that is determined to convey this message to the entire world. We have tried to convey this message and by Allah's favor, we will try even harder in the future. Sanctions, political pressure and other such things will not be effective. When a nation decides to stand firm, when a nation believes in divine assistance and its domestic power and capacities, nothing can stand in its way.
This is my advice: strengthen your resolve. Increase the motivation to continue this path in your organization and among the people who have taken on this important responsibility. Your work is significant. Your work is important and by Allah's favor, it will determine the future of this country. The issue is not that we will be able to use the nuclear industry to promote our national interests. The issue is that this movement strengthens the resolve of our youth, our scientists and our people, and it makes them steadfast on their path. This is an important point. Keeping our people steadfast and motivated is more important than the direct rewards of the nuclear industry. You are active in this arena and God willing, Allah the Exalted will help you.
We will pray for you. We will definitely help and support you whenever necessary. We believe that by Allah's favor, you will move forward and remove the obstacles from your path one after the other. By Allah's favor, your future will be far better than your present.
Greetings be upon you and Allah's mercy and blessings
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